America MG vs Ponte Preta

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made America MG favourites at 57% (Ponte Preta 22%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.73 to 0.98 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 50%. America MG won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Ponte Preta have gone 10 matches without a win.
• America MG have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 25 Apr 2026, when Ponte Preta won 1-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.