America MG vs Londrina

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Londrina favourites at 54% (America MG 25%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.14 and 4 wins in Londrina's last 10 matches to 2 for America MG. America MG lead the head-to-head 5-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 50%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• America MG have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 9 Nov 2019, when America MG won 1-0.