America MG vs Athletic Club

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Athletic Club favourites at 58% (America MG 14%, draw 28%). That rests on expected goals of 1.23 to 0.43. America MG lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams scoring at 36%. Athletic Club won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Athletic Club are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 6 Apr 2026, when it finished 1-1.
• Only 1 of the last 7 meetings had three or more goals.