Alverca vs Braga

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Braga favourites at 65% (Alverca 13%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.61 to 0.55, 6 wins in Braga's last 10 matches to 4 for Alverca and 6 wins from the last 9 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 32%. Braga won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Braga are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Braga won 5-0.
• 7 of the last 9 meetings had three or more goals.