Alfreton vs Stratford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Alfreton favourites at 59% (Stratford 20%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 0.93 and 4 wins in Alfreton's last 10 matches to 1 for Stratford. It put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 49%. Stratford won 2-0, against the model's 59% for Alfreton.

Key facts before the match

• Stratford have gone 7 matches without a win.