SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · Taca de Portugal · Portugal

Alcains vs Sertanense

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Alcains1-0Sertanense
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
0-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sertanense favourites at 50% (Alcains 24%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.30 to 0.78, 2 wins in Sertanense's last 10 matches to 0 for Alcains and 5 wins from the last 9 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams scoring at 38%. Alcains won 1-0, against the model's 50% for Sertanense.

Key facts before the match

  • Alcains have lost 6 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 6 Apr 2025, when Sertanense won 3-1.
Portugal•Taca de Portugal
Alcains(2)
L566d
L573d
L581d
L595d
L601d
L608d
D615d
L622d
D629d
L636d
0W · 2D · 8L
vs
Sertanense(5)
L69d
D76d
L566d
W573d
L581d
L594d
L601d
D608d
D615d
W622d
2W · 3D · 5L
Sunday, 30 August 2026 at 19:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Alcains1-0Sertanense
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
0-0
H2H: 2-2-5
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Alcains at homeSertanense away
65
0/60/5
1/62/5
5/63/5
0.330.60
1.671.20
1/63/5
1/60/5
0/60/5
5/65/5
4/61/5
1/60/5
5/62/5
1/61/5
1/63/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Alcains: 0.78
Expected Goals
Sertanense: 1.3
Alcains
24%
Draw
26%
Sertanense
50%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 38%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Alcains
13 Apr2025
Alcains vs Alverca b
0-2L
06 Apr2025
Sertanense vs Alcains
3-1L
29 Mar2025
Alcains vs Uniao de Coimbra
0-1L
15 Mar2025
Marinhense vs Alcains
1-0L
09 Mar2025
Alcains vs Peniche
0-2L
02 Mar2025
sb Castelo Branco vs Alcains
2-0L
23 Feb2025
Alcains vs Pombal
0-0D
16 Feb2025
Alcains vs os Marialvas
0-2L
09 Feb2025
Mortagua vs Alcains
2-2D
02 Feb2025
Alcains vs Arronches Benfica
2-3L
Team 2 Form
Sertanense
23 Aug2026
Sertanense vs Mortagua
1-3L
16 Aug2026
Nogueirense vs Sertanense
1-1D
13 Apr2025
sb Castelo Branco vs Sertanense
1-0L
06 Apr2025
Sertanense vs Alcains
3-1W
29 Mar2025
os Marialvas vs Sertanense
2-1L
16 Mar2025
Sertanense vs Mortagua
0-2L
09 Mar2025
Arronches Benfica vs Sertanense
1-0L
02 Mar2025
Sertanense vs o Elvas Cad
0-0D
23 Feb2025
Fatima vs Sertanense
1-1D
16 Feb2025
Sertanense vs Pero Pinheiro
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
06 Apr2025
Sertanense vs Alcains
3-1•
15 Dec2024
Alcains vs Sertanense
2-0•
16 Apr2023
Sertanense vs Alcains
1-3•
08 Jan2023
Alcains vs Sertanense
0-3•
11 Sept2022
Alcains vs Sertanense
0-1•
28 Feb2021
Alcains vs Sertanense
0-2•
29 Nov2020
Sertanense vs Alcains
0-0•
20 Jan2019
Alcains vs Sertanense
1-1•
12 Aug2018
Sertanense vs Alcains
1-0•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.