Alaves vs Valencia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Alaves favourites at 84% (Valencia 4%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.34 to 0.27, 5 wins in Alaves's last 10 matches to 2 for Valencia and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 32%. Valencia won 1-0, against the model's 84% for Alaves.

Key facts before the match

• Valencia have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when Valencia won 3-2.