Alaves vs Malaga

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Alaves favourites at 77% (Malaga 8%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.16 to 0.48 and 3 wins in Alaves's last 10 matches to 0 for Malaga. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 45%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 15%.

Key facts before the match

• Malaga have gone 10 matches without a win.
• Alaves have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 20 May 2023, when Alaves won 2-1.