Alaves vs Getafe

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Alaves favourites at 63% (Getafe 15%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.60 to 0.62. Getafe lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams scoring at 37%. Alaves won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 8 Feb 2026, when Getafe won 2-0.
• Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.