Al Masry vs Abu Qir Semad

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Al Masry favourites at 60% (Abu Qir Semad 13%, draw 27%). That rests on expected goals of 1.32 to 0.43 and 5 wins in Al Masry's last 10 matches to 3 for Abu Qir Semad. It put over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams scoring at 25%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 27%.

Key facts before the match

• Abu Qir Semad have gone 6 matches without a win.