Al Ahly vs Smouha

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Al Ahly favourites at 73% (Smouha 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.16 to 0.67, 6 wins in Al Ahly's last 10 matches to 2 for Smouha and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 37%. Al Ahly won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Smouha have gone 8 matches without a win.
• They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Al Ahly won 2-1.