Ajax vs Heerenveen

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 52% (Heerenveen 28%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.46, 8 wins in Ajax's last 10 matches to 6 for Heerenveen and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Ajax are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• Heerenveen are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 17 May 2026, when it finished 0-0.