Aguilas FC (ESP) vs Lorca Deportiva (ESP)

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Aguilas FC (ESP) favourites at 55% (Lorca Deportiva (ESP) 17%, draw 28%). That rests on expected goals of 1.21 to 0.53, 4 wins in Aguilas FC (ESP)'s last 10 matches to 0 for Lorca Deportiva (ESP) and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 25% and both teams scoring at 35%. Aguilas FC (ESP) won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lorca Deportiva (ESP) have gone 10 matches without a win.
• Aguilas FC (ESP) have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 6 Aug 2026, when it finished 0-0.
• Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.