AFC Wimbledon vs Reading

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Reading favourites at 63% (AFC Wimbledon 16%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.72 and 5 wins in Reading's last 10 matches to 3 for AFC Wimbledon. AFC Wimbledon lead the head-to-head 5-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 46%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• AFC Wimbledon have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when AFC Wimbledon won 3-2.