AFC Wimbledon vs Newport

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Newport favourites at 54% (AFC Wimbledon 25%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 1.12 and 5 wins in Newport's last 10 matches to 3 for AFC Wimbledon. It put over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 57%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 2 Jan 2025, when AFC Wimbledon won 2-1.