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Football · EFL Trophy · England

AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes AFC Wimbledon favourites at 41% (Arsenal U21 36%, draw 23%). Bookmakers give AFC Wimbledon about 58% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

  • AFC Wimbledon have gone 7 matches without a win.
  • AFC Wimbledon are 3rd in EFL Trophy on 2 points from 2 games; Arsenal U21 are 2nd on 3.
  • They last met on 8 Dec 2020, when AFC Wimbledon won 3-0.
  • Arsenal U21 concede 2.29 goals a game away from home.
England•EFL Trophy
Rank 3 · 2 pts
D0d
L4d
L7d
L14d
D18d
D28d
D37d
W42d
W47d
L52d
2W · 4D · 4L
vs
Rank 2 · 3 pts
L0d
D14d
D36d
W39d
L42d
D54d
D63d
L67d
D99d
L182d
1W · 5D · 4L
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
7/1612/23
0.701.20
1.602.30
6/109/10
1/103/10
6/109/10
4/106/10
4/101/10
4/101/10
7/109/10
4/107/10
4/109/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Afc Wimbledon at homeArsenal U21 away
57
1/51/7
3/53/7
1/53/7
0.401.14
0.802.29
2/56/7
0/52/7
0/50/7
2/56/7
1/54/7
3/51/7
3/51/7
1/55/7
1/56/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Afc Wimbledon: 1.39
Expected Goals
Arsenal U21: 1.29
Afc Wimbledon
41%
Draw
23%
Arsenal U21
36%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.1%
1 — AFC Wimbledon
1.57▲
Implied 58%
Edge -17.4%
X
4.40
Implied 21%
Edge +2.2%
2 — Arsenal U21
4.40▲
Implied 21%
Edge +15.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Afc Wimbledon · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Wycombe#1
1-1D
20 Oct2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Mansfield#4
0-3L
17 Oct2026
Sheffield Wed#1 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
5-0L
10 Oct2026
Plymouth#1 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
2-1L
06 Oct2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Barnet#1
0-0D
26 Sept2026
Cambridge Utd#1 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
1-1D
17 Sept2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs mk Dons#1
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Doncaster#2
1-0W
07 Sept2026
Bromley#4 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
0-2W
02 Sept2026
Burton#2 vs Afc Wimbledon#3
4-1L
Team 2 Form
Arsenal U21 · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Leicester U21 vs Arsenal U21#2
4-1L
10 Oct2026
Arsenal U21#2 vs Sunderland U21#4
2-2D
18 Sept2026
Birmingham U21 vs Arsenal U21#2
0-0D
15 Sept2026
Leyton Orient#4 vs Arsenal U21#2
1-2W
12 Sept2026
Arsenal U21#2 vs Chelsea U21#2
1-4L
31 Aug2026
Brighton U21#2 vs Arsenal U21#2
2-2D
22 Aug2026
Arsenal U21#2 vs Crystal Palace U21#3
1-1D
18 Aug2026
Barnet#1 vs Arsenal U21#2
5-1L
17 Jul2026
Boreham Wood#1 vs Arsenal U21#2
1-1D
25 Apr2026
Manchester City U21#3 vs Arsenal U21#2
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Dec2020
Afc Wimbledon#3 vs Arsenal U21#2
3-0•

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