Football · Cyprus League · Cyprus
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
Monday, 26 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Omonia favourites at 42% (AEK Larnaca 37%, draw 21%). That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. AEK Larnaca come in with the better recent form (8 wins from 10 to 5), which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Omonia about 47% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Key facts
- AEK Larnaca are unbeaten in 6 matches.
- Omonia kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- AEK Larnaca are 2nd in Cyprus League on 13 points from 6 games; Omonia are 3rd on 12.
- They last met on 10 May 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Cyprus•Cyprus League
vs
Monday, 26 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-5-4
Last 10 matches
1010
24/1018/9
2.401.80
1.000.90
9/107/10
7/105/10
8/105/10
2/102/10
2/105/10
1/103/10
8/106/10
7/106/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Aek Larnaca at homeOmonia away
73
6/73/3
0/70/3
1/70/3
2.433.33
1.000.33
6/73/3
5/73/3
4/73/3
5/71/3
2/70/3
2/72/3
1/70/3
5/73/3
4/71/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Aek Larnaca: 1.57
Expected Goals
Omonia: 1.71
Aek Larnaca
37%
Draw
21%
Omonia
42%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.7%
1 — AEK Larnaca
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge +10.7%
X
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge -6.0%
2 — Omonia
1.97▼
Implied 47%
Edge -4.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Aek Larnaca · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Chloraka
3-2W
18 Oct2026
Aris#6 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-1D
12 Oct2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia Aradippou#9
1-0W
03 Oct2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Apollon#4
3-0W
27 Sept2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Nea Salamis#11
2-1W
18 Sept2026
Omonia 29th May#8 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Pafos#5
0-1L
06 Sept2026
Nea Salamis#11 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-4W
29 Aug2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Apoel#7
3-1W
21 Aug2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia 29th May#8
5-2W
Team 2 Form
Omonia · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Omonia#3 vs Benfica#2
1-4L
19 Oct2026
Omonia#3 vs Ol. Nicosia#10
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Celje#29 vs Omonia#3
0-3W
09 Oct2026
Karmiotissa#14 vs Omonia#3
0-3W
20 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Krasava#12
4-1W
16 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Celta Vigo#8
1-0W
12 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Apollon#4
0-0D
07 Sept2026
Aris#6 vs Omonia#3
1-4W
03 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Pafos#5
0-1L
31 Aug2026
Omonia#3 vs Omonia Aradippou#9
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
Omonia#3 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-1•
14 Apr2026
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia#3
0-2•
14 Jan2026
Omonia#3 vs Aek Larnaca#2
2-1•
15 Dec2025
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia#3
1-1•
17 Sept2025
Omonia#3 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-0•
07 May2025
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia#3
2-1•
30 Apr2025
Omonia#3 vs Aek Larnaca#2
0-0•
22 Apr2025
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia#3
1-1•
16 Mar2025
Omonia#3 vs Aek Larnaca#2
1-1•
03 Jan2025
Aek Larnaca#2 vs Omonia#3
0-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Aek Larnaca
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