SMO◦ANCE

Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · Cyprus League · Cyprus

AEK Larnaca vs AEL Limassol

Tuesday, 01 December 2026

Match preview

The model makes AEK Larnaca favourites at 58% (AEL Limassol 22%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.89 to 1.04 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Key facts

AEK Larnaca are unbeaten in 8 matches.
AEK Larnaca are 1st in Cyprus League on 17 points from 8 games; AEL Limassol are 4th on 15.
They last met on 22 Dec 2025, when AEK Larnaca won 1-0.

Cyprus•Cyprus League

Aek Larnaca(7)

Rank 1 · 17 pts

D1d

W6d

W11d

D14d

W20d

W29d

W35d

W44d

L49d

W56d

7W · 2D · 1L

Ael Limassol(1)

Rank 4 · 15 pts

L1d

L7d

W14d

W21d

W44d

W51d

L56d

W63d

D71d

W74d

6W · 1D · 3L

Tuesday, 01 December 2026 at 20:00

H2H: 7-2-1

Last 10 matches

1010

20/917/15

2.001.70

0.901.50

9/108/10

7/107/10

7/106/10

2/104/10

3/104/10

1/102/10

8/1010/10

6/106/10

6/104/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Aek Larnaca at homeAel Limassol away

5/63/5

0/60/5

1/62/5

1.831.60

0.671.60

5/63/5

4/63/5

2/61/5

3/62/5

1/62/5

3/63/5

1/62/5

3/62/5

2/60/5

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Aek Larnaca: 1.89

Expected Goals

Ael Limassol: 1.04

Aek Larnaca

58%

Draw

20%

Ael Limassol

22%

Over 2.5: 49%

BTTS: 52%

Quality: high

Team 1 Form

Aek Larnaca · # = league position now

31 Oct2026

Krasava#14 vs Aek Larnaca#1

2-2D

26 Oct2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Omonia#3

2-0W

21 Oct2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Chloraka

3-2W

18 Oct2026

Aris#6 vs Aek Larnaca#1

1-1D

12 Oct2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Omonia Aradippou#11

1-0W

03 Oct2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Apollon#2

3-0W

27 Sept2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Nea Salamis#13

2-1W

18 Sept2026

Omonia 29th May#8 vs Aek Larnaca#1

1-2W

13 Sept2026

Aek Larnaca#1 vs Pafos#5

0-1L

06 Sept2026

Nea Salamis#13 vs Aek Larnaca#1

1-4W

Team 2 Form

Ael Limassol · # = league position now

31 Oct2026

Omonia#3 vs Ael Limassol#4

2-0L

25 Oct2026

Ael Limassol#4 vs Aris#6

1-3L

18 Oct2026

Omonia Aradippou#11 vs Ael Limassol#4

0-2W

11 Oct2026

Ael Limassol#4 vs Omonia 29th May#8

2-1W

18 Sept2026

Pafos#5 vs Ael Limassol#4

0-2W

11 Sept2026

Ael Limassol#4 vs Nea Salamis#13

2-1W

06 Sept2026

Apoel#7 vs Ael Limassol#4

6-0L

30 Aug2026

Ael Limassol#4 vs Anorthosis#10

2-0W

22 Aug2026

Ael Limassol#4 vs Aris#6

2-2D

19 Aug2026

Krasava#14 vs Ael Limassol#4

0-4W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

22 Dec2025

Ael Limassol#4 vs Aek Larnaca#1

0-1•

31 Aug2025