Accrington vs Newport

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Accrington favourites at 49% (Newport 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.39. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 61%. It ended 0-0, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Newport have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 27 Jan 2026, when Accrington won 4-1.