Accrington vs Grimsby

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Grimsby favourites at 68% (Accrington 10%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.59 to 0.41 and 5 wins in Grimsby's last 10 matches to 3 for Accrington. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 35%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 22%.

Key facts before the match

• Accrington have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 11 Feb 2026, when Grimsby won 1-0.