SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · Serie A · Italy

AC Milan vs Lecce

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
AC Milan3-0Lecce
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
2-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AC Milan favourites at 51% (Lecce 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 0.98 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Lecce come in with the better recent form (5 wins from 10 to 3), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 42%. AC Milan won 3-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 18 Jan 2026, when AC Milan won 1-0.
Italy•Serie A
L55d
D59d
D65d
W74d
W79d
W87d
L94d
D97d
D108d
L170d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
W58d
L64d
L71d
W79d
L85d
W93d
W104d
D108d
L111d
W114d
5W · 1D · 4L
Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
AC Milan3-0Lecce
1ST HALF
1-0
2ND HALF
2-0
H2H: 8-2-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
ac Milan at homeLecce away
44
1/42/4
1/40/4
2/42/4
1.000.75
1.250.75
3/42/4
1/41/4
0/40/4
3/42/4
2/41/4
1/42/4
1/42/4
1/40/4
2/40/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
ac Milan: 1.51
Expected Goals
Lecce: 0.98
ac Milan
51%
Draw
23%
Lecce
26%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 42%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
ac Milan · # = league position now
16 Sept2026
ac Milan#4 vs Benfica#2
0-2L
12 Sept2026
Lazio#1 vs ac Milan#4
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Juventus#7 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
28 Aug2026
ac Milan#4 vs Venezia#19
2-0W
23 Aug2026
Torino#11 vs ac Milan#4
1-2W
15 Aug2026
Manchester Utd#18 vs ac Milan#4
2-4W
08 Aug2026
Chelsea#5 vs ac Milan#4
3-0L
05 Aug2026
ac Milan#4 vs Inter#2
1-1D
25 Jul2026
Celtic#1 vs ac Milan#4
2-2D
24 May2026
ac Milan#4 vs Cagliari#9
1-2L
Team 2 Form
Lecce · # = league position now
13 Sept2026
Lecce#14 vs Monza#18
3-2W
07 Sept2026
Cagliari#9 vs Lecce#14
1-0L
31 Aug2026
Lecce#14 vs as Roma#3
0-4L
23 Aug2026
Venezia#19 vs Lecce#14
0-2W
17 Aug2026
Palermo#1 vs Lecce#14
2-0L
09 Aug2026
Lecce#14 vs Monopoli
1-0W
29 Jul2026
Lecce#14 vs nk Bistrica
5-2W
25 Jul2026
Lecce#14 vs Istra 1961#4
2-2D
22 Jul2026
Lecce#14 vs Politehnica Timisoara
0-1L
19 Jul2026
Haladas vs Lecce#14
0-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
18 Jan2026
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#14
1-0•
23 Sept2025
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#14
3-0•
29 Aug2025
Lecce#14 vs ac Milan#4
0-2•
08 Mar2025
Lecce#14 vs ac Milan#4
2-3•
27 Sept2024
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#14
3-0•
06 Apr2024
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#14
3-0•
11 Nov2023
Lecce#14 vs ac Milan#4
2-2•
23 Apr2023
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#14
2-0•
14 Jan2023
Lecce#14 vs ac Milan#4
2-2•
22 Jun2020
Lecce#14 vs ac Milan#4
1-4•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.