AC Milan vs Benfica

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Benfica favourites at 51% (AC Milan 29%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.00 to 1.46 and 8 wins in Benfica's last 10 matches to 4 for AC Milan. It put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 66%. Benfica won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Benfica have won 7 matches in a row.
• AC Milan are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 28 Jul 2019, when Benfica won 1-0.