Football · Superliga · Denmark
Aarhus vs Viborg
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Viborg favourites at 52% (Aarhus 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.82 to 1.22, Viborg sitting 3rd in the table to Aarhus's 10th and 5 wins in Viborg's last 10 matches to 3 for Aarhus. Aarhus lead the head-to-head 6-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Viborg about 34% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 69%.
Key facts
- They last met on 14 Aug 2026, when Viborg won 2-1.
- Viborg have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
Denmark•Superliga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-3-1
Last 10 matches
1010
17/1319/14
1.701.90
1.301.40
7/109/10
5/105/10
9/108/10
4/105/10
1/102/10
3/101/10
9/1010/10
5/107/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Aarhus at homeViborg away
55
2/52/5
2/51/5
1/52/5
1.601.60
1.201.60
4/55/5
3/52/5
1/51/5
4/54/5
2/53/5
1/51/5
1/50/5
3/53/5
3/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Aarhus: 1.22
Expected Goals
Viborg: 1.82
Aarhus
27%
Draw
21%
Viborg
52%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 69%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.4%
1 — Aarhus
2.35▲
Implied 40%
Edge -12.6%
X
3.60▼
Implied 26%
Edge -4.9%
2 — Viborg
2.70▲
Implied 34%
Edge +17.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Aarhus · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Aarhus#10 vs Egnatia#20
1-1D
18 Oct2026
fc Copenhagen#1 vs Aarhus#10
1-1D
15 Oct2026
Gent#1 vs Aarhus#10
1-0L
12 Oct2026
Aarhus#10 vs Sonderjyske#11
3-0W
02 Oct2026
Aarhus#10 vs Vendsyssel
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Horsens#6 vs Aarhus#10
2-2D
16 Sept2026
Skjold vs Aarhus#10
1-6W
13 Sept2026
Nordsjaelland#4 vs Aarhus#10
2-0L
05 Sept2026
Aarhus#10 vs Silkeborg#8
2-2D
02 Sept2026
Aarhus#10 vs Midtjylland#2
0-2L
Team 2 Form
Viborg · # = league position now
19 Oct2026
Viborg#3 vs Midtjylland#2
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Randers fc#9 vs Viborg#3
0-2W
03 Oct2026
Holstein Kiel#18 vs Viborg#3
3-1L
20 Sept2026
Viborg#3 vs Nordsjaelland#4
4-1W
16 Sept2026
Brabrand vs Viborg#3
2-1L
13 Sept2026
Silkeborg#8 vs Viborg#3
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Viborg#3 vs Lyngby#12
0-2L
28 Aug2026
Horsens#6 vs Viborg#3
2-3W
23 Aug2026
Viborg#3 vs fc Copenhagen#1
4-0W
14 Aug2026
Viborg#3 vs Aarhus#10
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Aug2026
Viborg#3 vs Aarhus#10
2-1•
27 Jun2026
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
1-1•
17 May2026
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
6-2•
06 Apr2026
Viborg#3 vs Aarhus#10
1-2•
22 Feb2026
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
5-2•
14 Sept2025
Viborg#3 vs Aarhus#10
1-2•
09 Mar2025
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
1-1•
06 Oct2024
Viborg#3 vs Aarhus#10
1-1•
04 Feb2024
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
2-1•
12 Nov2023
Aarhus#10 vs Viborg#3
2-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Aarhus
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