Football · Meistriliiga · Estonia
Flora vs Narva
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Flora favourites at 85% (Narva 6%, draw 9%). That rests on expected goals of 3.22 to 0.73, Flora sitting 3rd in the table to Narva's 10th, 5 wins in Flora's last 10 matches to 0 for Narva and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Flora about 75% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- Narva have lost 4 matches in a row.
- Flora have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Flora average 3.6 goals a game at home.
- They last met on 8 Sept 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Narva concede 2.8 goals a game away from home.
Estonia•Meistriliiga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-4-0
Last 10 matches
1010
25/188/21
2.500.80
1.802.10
9/106/10
6/102/10
9/1010/10
7/107/10
1/100/10
1/104/10
10/108/10
8/105/10
8/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Flora at homeNarva away
55
4/50/5
0/51/5
1/54/5
3.601.00
1.402.80
5/54/5
4/51/5
2/50/5
4/55/5
2/55/5
1/50/5
0/51/5
4/54/5
4/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Flora: 3.22
Expected Goals
Narva: 0.73
Flora
85%
Draw
9%
Narva
6%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 11.4%
1 — Flora
1.20▼
Implied 75%
Edge +10.2%
X
6.00▲
Implied 15%
Edge -6.0%
2 — Narva
8.80▲
Implied 10%
Edge -4.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Flora · # = league position now
29 Oct2026
Flora#3 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
10-1W
25 Oct2026
Kalju#4 vs Flora#3
2-1L
21 Oct2026
Harju jk Laagri#6 vs Flora#3
3-1L
18 Oct2026
Flora#3 vs Tammeka#5
2-0W
15 Oct2026
Flora#3 vs Levadia#1
1-3L
11 Oct2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Flora#3
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Flora#3 vs Parnu jk Vaprus#8
3-2W
12 Sept2026
Nomme Utd#7 vs Flora#3
2-3W
08 Sept2026
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Flora#3 vs Kalju#4
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Narva · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Narva#10 vs Nomme Utd#7
0-1L
23 Oct2026
Tammeka#5 vs Narva#10
5-1L
18 Oct2026
Paide#2 vs Narva#10
2-1L
14 Oct2026
Narva#10 vs Kuressaare#9
0-1L
10 Oct2026
Parnu jk Vaprus#8 vs Narva#10
2-2D
20 Sept2026
Narva#10 vs Levadia#1
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Kalju#4 vs Narva#10
2-0L
08 Sept2026
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Kuressaare#9 vs Narva#10
3-1L
30 Aug2026
Narva#10 vs Tammeka#5
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Sept2026
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
2-2•
16 May2026
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
0-3•
05 May2026
Flora#3 vs Narva#10
1-0•
22 Apr2026
Flora#3 vs Narva#10
6-0•
21 Oct2025
Flora#3 vs Narva#10
4-0•
02 Aug2025
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
1-1•
18 Jun2025
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
1-2•
01 Mar2025
Flora#3 vs Narva#10
2-2•
17 Sept2024
Narva#10 vs Flora#3
1-1•
03 Aug2024
Flora#3 vs Narva#10
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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