Northampton vs Rochdale

Match preview

The model makes Northampton favourites at 51% (Rochdale 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.51 to 0.97. Rochdale lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 48%.

Key facts

• Rochdale have gone 5 matches without a win.
• Northampton are 19th in League Two on 13 points from 11 games; Rochdale are 17th on 15.
• They last met on 11 Feb 2023, when it finished 1-1.
• Rochdale concede 2 goals a game away from home.