Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik

Match preview

The model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl favourites at 56% (Neftekhimik 19%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.38 to 0.67 and Shinnik Yaroslavl sitting 7th in the table to Neftekhimik's 16th. It puts over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams scoring at 39%.

Key facts

• Neftekhimik have gone 6 matches without a win.
• Goals are scarce: only 3 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 10 matches and 3 of Neftekhimik's had more than 2.5.
• They last met on 14 Aug 2026, when Shinnik Yaroslavl won 2-0.
• Only 2 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.