Football · Championship · England

Derby vs Norwich

Tuesday, 03 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Derby vs Norwich in Championship (Football) on Tuesday, 03 November 2026. Model prediction: Derby 29% vs Norwich 51%, draw 20%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

England•Championship
DerbyDerby(4)
Rank 22 · 5 pts
vs
NorwichNorwich(3)
Rank 17 · 9 pts
Tuesday, 03 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 4-3-3
Derby — Last 10
D16d
L23d
L26d
L30d
W34d
L37d
D44d
L51d
L58d
D62d
1W · 3D · 6L
Played10
GF/GA9/17
Avg For0.90
Avg Against1.70
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥22/10
Conceded ≥19/10
Conceded ≥26/10
Clean Sheets1/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.59/10
Over 2.56/10
BTTS6/10
Norwich — Last 10
L15d
L18d
L23d
W26d
W30d
L34d
W37d
W41d
L44d
L51d
4W · 0D · 6L
Played10
GF/GA18/23
Avg For1.80
Avg Against2.30
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥26/10
Conceded ≥110/10
Conceded ≥25/10
Clean Sheets0/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.59/10
Over 2.59/10
BTTS7/10
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Derby: 1.43
Expected Goals
Norwich: 1.94
Derby
29%
Draw
20%
Norwich
51%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Derby
19 Sept
Burnley vs Derby
1-1D
12 Sept
Derby vs Birmingham
1-2L
09 Sept
Derby vs West Brom
0-1L
05 Sept
West Ham vs Derby
3-0L
01 Sept
Portsmouth vs Derby
0-2W
29 Aug
Derby vs Swansea
0-3L
22 Aug
Derby vs Cardiff
2-2D
15 Aug
Charlton vs Derby
2-1L
08 Aug
Derby vs Lincoln
1-2L
04 Aug
Rotherham vs Derby
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Norwich
20 Sept
Norwich vs Bolton
3-4L
17 Sept
Manchester City vs Norwich
5-0L
12 Sept
Middlesbrough vs Norwich
4-3L
09 Sept
Norwich vs Birmingham
2-1W
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd vs Norwich
1-3W
01 Sept
Stoke vs Norwich
1-0L
29 Aug
Norwich vs Burnley
4-1W
25 Aug
Cardiff vs Norwich
1-2W
22 Aug
Millwall vs Norwich
3-0L
15 Aug
Norwich vs West Brom
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
21 Apr
Norwich vs Derby
2-1•
21 Oct
Derby vs Norwich
1-0•
08 Feb
Norwich vs Derby
1-1•
28 Sept
Derby vs Norwich
2-3•
10 Apr
Derby vs Norwich
0-1•
03 Oct
Norwich vs Derby
0-1•
29 Dec
Norwich vs Derby
3-4•
03 Oct
Derby vs Norwich
1-1•
10 Feb
Derby vs Norwich
1-1•
28 Oct
Norwich vs Derby
1-2•
Full Match Object
{
  "league": "Championship",
  "country": "England",
  "match": "Derby vs Norwich",
  "date": "2026-11-03",
  "time": "22:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Derby",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "19.09.26",
        "home": "Burnley",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Birmingham",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "West Brom",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "West Ham",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.09.26",
        "home": "Portsmouth",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Swansea",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Cardiff",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Charlton",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Lincoln",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Rotherham",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-1"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 22,
      "points": 5,
      "goal_diff": -7,
      "played": 8,
      "wins": 1,
      "draws": 2,
      "losses": 5,
      "goals": "7:14",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "D",
        "L",
        "L",
        "L",
        "W"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 9,
        "conceded_2plus": 6,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 9,
        "over_2_5": 6,
        "btts": 6,
        "total_scored": 9,
        "total_conceded": 17,
        "avg_scored": 0.9,
        "avg_conceded": 1.7
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 4,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 4,
        "total_conceded": 10,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 2
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 5,
        "total_conceded": 7,
        "avg_scored": 1,
        "avg_conceded": 1.4
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 0.867,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.6,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        1,
        0
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        0,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        1,
        3,
        0
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Norwich",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "20.09.26",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Bolton",
        "score": "3-4"
      },
      {
        "date": "17.09.26",
        "home": "Manchester City",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "5-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Middlesbrough",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "4-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Birmingham",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Sheffield Utd",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.09.26",
        "home": "Stoke",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Burnley",
        "score": "4-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "25.08.26",
        "home": "Cardiff",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "Millwall",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "West Brom",
        "score": "1-2"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 17,
      "points": 9,
      "goal_diff": -1,
      "played": 8,
      "wins": 3,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 5,
      "goals": "16:17",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "L",
        "L",
        "W",
        "W",
        "L"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 6,
        "conceded_1plus": 10,
        "conceded_2plus": 5,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 9,
        "over_2_5": 9,
        "btts": 7,
        "total_scored": 18,
        "total_conceded": 23,
        "avg_scored": 1.8,
        "avg_conceded": 2.3
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 4,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 10,
        "total_conceded": 8,
        "avg_scored": 2.5,
        "avg_conceded": 2
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 6,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 6,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 5,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 8,
        "total_conceded": 15,
        "avg_scored": 1.33,
        "avg_conceded": 2.5
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.933,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 2.533,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        3,
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        4,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        0,
        3,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        5,
        4,
        1
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "21.04.26",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "21.10.25",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.02.25",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "28.09.24",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "10.04.21",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "03.10.20",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.12.18",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "3-4"
      },
      {
        "date": "03.10.18",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "10.02.18",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Norwich",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "28.10.17",
        "home": "Norwich",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-2"
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "draw": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-10-03T21:02:42.560165+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.43,
      "team_2": 1.94
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 29,
      "draw": 20,
      "team_2": 51
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 62,
    "btts_probability": 62,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        -0.2,
        0.2
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 6,
      "over25_poisson": 65,
      "over25_empirical": 75,
      "btts_poisson": 65,
      "btts_empirical": 65
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}
Team 1
{
  "name": "Derby",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "19.09.26",
      "home": "Burnley",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Birmingham",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.09.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "West Brom",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "West Ham",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.09.26",
      "home": "Portsmouth",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Swansea",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Cardiff",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Charlton",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Lincoln",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "04.08.26",
      "home": "Rotherham",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-1"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 22,
    "points": 5,
    "goal_diff": -7,
    "played": 8,
    "wins": 1,
    "draws": 2,
    "losses": 5,
    "goals": "7:14",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "D",
      "L",
      "L",
      "L",
      "W"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 9,
      "conceded_2plus": 6,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 9,
      "over_2_5": 6,
      "btts": 6,
      "total_scored": 9,
      "total_conceded": 17,
      "avg_scored": 0.9,
      "avg_conceded": 1.7
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 4,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 4,
      "total_conceded": 10,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 2
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 5,
      "total_conceded": 7,
      "avg_scored": 1,
      "avg_conceded": 1.4
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 0.867,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.6,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      1,
      0
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      0,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      1,
      3,
      0
    ]
  }
}
Team 2
{
  "name": "Norwich",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "20.09.26",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Bolton",
      "score": "3-4"
    },
    {
      "date": "17.09.26",
      "home": "Manchester City",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "5-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Middlesbrough",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "4-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.09.26",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Birmingham",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Sheffield Utd",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.09.26",
      "home": "Stoke",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.08.26",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Burnley",
      "score": "4-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "25.08.26",
      "home": "Cardiff",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "Millwall",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "West Brom",
      "score": "1-2"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 17,
    "points": 9,
    "goal_diff": -1,
    "played": 8,
    "wins": 3,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 5,
    "goals": "16:17",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "L",
      "L",
      "W",
      "W",
      "L"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 6,
      "conceded_1plus": 10,
      "conceded_2plus": 5,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 9,
      "over_2_5": 9,
      "btts": 7,
      "total_scored": 18,
      "total_conceded": 23,
      "avg_scored": 1.8,
      "avg_conceded": 2.3
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 4,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 10,
      "total_conceded": 8,
      "avg_scored": 2.5,
      "avg_conceded": 2
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 6,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 6,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 5,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 8,
      "total_conceded": 15,
      "avg_scored": 1.33,
      "avg_conceded": 2.5
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.933,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 2.533,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      3,
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      4,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      0,
      3,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      5,
      4,
      1
    ]
  }
}
Head-to-Head
{
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "21.04.26",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "21.10.25",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.02.25",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "28.09.24",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "10.04.21",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "03.10.20",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.12.18",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "3-4"
    },
    {
      "date": "03.10.18",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "10.02.18",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Norwich",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "28.10.17",
      "home": "Norwich",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-2"
    }
  ]
}
Model
{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.43,
    "team_2": 1.94
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 29,
    "draw": 20,
    "team_2": 51
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 62,
  "btts_probability": 62,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      -0.2,
      0.2
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 6,
    "over25_poisson": 65,
    "over25_empirical": 75,
    "btts_poisson": 65,
    "btts_empirical": 65
  }
}
Odds
{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": null,
    "draw": null,
    "away": null,
    "vig_pct": null
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-10-03T21:02:42.560165+00:00"
}

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