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Football · Championship · England

Burnley vs Birmingham

Wednesday, 25 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Birmingham favourites at 67% (Burnley 15%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 0.82, Birmingham sitting 7th in the table to Burnley's 22nd and 5 wins in Birmingham's last 10 matches to 1 for Burnley. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Burnley's last 10 matches and 7 of Birmingham's.
  • Burnley scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • They last met on 27 Dec 2022, when Burnley won 3-0.
  • 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
England•Championship
Rank 22 · 8 pts
L3d
L11d
D14d
W17d
D38d
L45d
D49d
L52d
D55d
L59d
1W · 4D · 5L
vs
Rank 7 · 20 pts
L3d
W10d
W14d
W17d
D38d
W45d
L48d
D51d
D56d
W60d
5W · 3D · 2L
Wednesday, 25 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
14/2018/10
1.401.80
2.001.00
10/109/10
2/106/10
9/107/10
6/103/10
1/103/10
0/101/10
10/108/10
7/107/10
9/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Burnley at homeBirmingham away
55
0/53/5
3/50/5
2/52/5
1.201.20
1.601.00
5/54/5
1/52/5
0/50/5
5/54/5
3/51/5
0/51/5
0/51/5
3/53/5
5/53/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Burnley: 0.82
Expected Goals
Birmingham: 2.04
Burnley
15%
Draw
18%
Birmingham
67%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Burnley · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Lincoln#15 vs Burnley#22
4-1L
16 Oct2026
Burnley#22 vs Wolves#4
1-2L
13 Oct2026
Burnley#22 vs Charlton#19
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Watford#21 vs Burnley#22
0-4W
19 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Derby#23
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Swansea#2 vs Burnley#22
3-1L
08 Sept2026
Wrexham#17 vs Burnley#22
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Bristol City#14
1-2L
02 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Middlesbrough#1
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Norwich#20 vs Burnley#22
4-1L
Team 2 Form
Birmingham · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Cardiff#16 vs Birmingham#7
1-0L
17 Oct2026
Birmingham#7 vs Qpr#8
3-0W
13 Oct2026
Birmingham#7 vs Preston#24
4-0W
10 Oct2026
West Brom#5 vs Birmingham#7
0-1W
19 Sept2026
Birmingham#7 vs Middlesbrough#1
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Derby#23 vs Birmingham#7
1-2W
09 Sept2026
Norwich#20 vs Birmingham#7
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Birmingham#7 vs Wolves#4
2-2D
01 Sept2026
Birmingham#7 vs Southampton#6
1-1D
28 Aug2026
Wrexham#17 vs Birmingham#7
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
27 Dec2022
Burnley#22 vs Birmingham#7
3-0•
19 Oct2022
Birmingham#7 vs Burnley#22
1-1•
16 Apr2016
Birmingham#7 vs Burnley#22
1-2•
15 Aug2015
Burnley#22 vs Birmingham#7
2-2•
12 Mar2014
Birmingham#7 vs Burnley#22
3-3•
17 Sept2013
Burnley#22 vs Birmingham#7
3-0•
26 Jan2013
Burnley#22 vs Birmingham#7
1-2•
22 Dec2012
Birmingham#7 vs Burnley#22
2-2•
03 Apr2012
Burnley#22 vs Birmingham#7
1-3•
22 Nov2011
Birmingham#7 vs Burnley#22
2-1•

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