Football · USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay vs Miami FC
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Tampa Bay favourites at 72% (Miami FC 11%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.03 to 0.62, Tampa Bay sitting 1st in the table to Miami FC's 8th and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Key facts
- Tampa Bay kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- Tampa Bay have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Tampa Bay have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 4 Oct 2026, when Miami FC won 2-1.
Usa•USL Championship
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 02:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 8-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
14/715/17
1.401.50
0.701.70
7/108/10
4/105/10
4/109/10
2/105/10
6/101/10
3/102/10
6/1010/10
4/107/10
3/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Tampa Bay at homeMiami fc away
56
4/53/6
0/51/6
1/52/6
2.001.33
0.401.67
5/55/6
3/53/6
1/50/6
1/55/6
1/52/6
4/51/6
0/51/6
2/54/6
1/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Tampa Bay: 2.03
Expected Goals
Miami fc: 0.62
Tampa Bay
72%
Draw
17%
Miami fc
11%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.0%
1 — Tampa Bay
1.30
Implied 70%
Edge +2.1%
X
5.20▼
Implied 17%
Edge -0.5%
2 — Miami FC
7.20
Implied 13%
Edge -1.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Tampa Bay · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Sporting Jax#13
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Detroit#3
1-0W
11 Oct2026
Indy Eleven#9 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-3W
04 Oct2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
1-2L
27 Sept2026
San Antonio#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
20 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Birmingham#11
4-0W
13 Sept2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
3-1L
06 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Brooklyn#12
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Pittsburgh#5 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Detroit#3 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Miami fc · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Miami fc#8 vs Charleston#2
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Miami fc#8 vs Loudoun#10
0-2L
04 Oct2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
1-2W
01 Oct2026
Miami fc#8 vs Sporting Jax#13
4-1W
27 Sept2026
Indy Eleven#9 vs Miami fc#8
0-2W
20 Sept2026
Rhode Island#7 vs Miami fc#8
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Brooklyn#12 vs Miami fc#8
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Miami fc#8 vs Pittsburgh#5
2-2D
25 Aug2026
Charleston#2 vs Miami fc#8
5-0L
16 Aug2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
04 Oct2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
1-2•
26 Jul2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-3•
17 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-4•
15 Jun2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-1•
27 Apr2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-3•
23 Mar2025
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-2•
25 Aug2024
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
12 Apr2024
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-5•
27 Aug2023
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2•
09 Apr2023
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
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