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Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · League Two · Scotland

Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes Elgin City favourites at 57% (Kelty Hearts 24%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.14 to 1.33 and 6 wins in Elgin City's last 10 matches to 4 for Kelty Hearts. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 63%.

Key facts

Kelty Hearts scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
Kelty Hearts are 5th in League Two on 15 points from 11 games; Elgin City are 3rd on 18.
They last met on 15 Aug 2026, when Elgin City won 4-1.

Scotland•League Two

Kelty Hearts(3)

Rank 5 · 15 pts

L6d

W13d

L17d

L20d

W27d

W34d

L38d

L41d

L48d

W52d

4W · 0D · 6L

Elgin City(3)

Rank 3 · 18 pts

W6d

D13d

L17d

W20d

W27d

W34d

W38d

L41d

L48d

W52d

6W · 1D · 3L

Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00

H2H: 3-3-3

Last 10 matches

1010

17/2222/12

1.702.20

2.201.20

10/107/10

5/105/10

8/106/10

6/103/10

2/104/10

0/103/10

10/107/10

9/106/10

8/104/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Kelty Hearts at homeElgin City away

2/43/4

0/40/4

2/41/4

2.001.25

2.501.00

4/43/4

3/42/4

1/40/4

4/43/4

2/41/4

0/41/4

4/42/4

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Kelty Hearts: 1.33

Expected Goals

Elgin City: 2.14

Kelty Hearts

24%

Draw

19%

Elgin City

57%

Over 2.5: 69%

BTTS: 63%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 10.8%

1 — Kelty Hearts

3.10

Implied 29%

Edge -5.1%

3.50

Implied 26%

Edge -6.8%

2 — Elgin City

2.00

Implied 45%

Edge +11.9%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Kelty Hearts · # = league position now

24 Oct2026

Edinburgh City#8 vs Kelty Hearts#5

4-1L

17 Oct2026

Kelty Hearts#5 vs Forfar Athletic#9

2-1W

13 Oct2026

East Kilbride#4 vs Kelty Hearts#5

2-1L

10 Oct2026

Stirling#7 vs Kelty Hearts#5

2-1L

03 Oct2026

Spartans#4 vs Kelty Hearts#5

0-2W

26 Sept2026

Kelty Hearts#5 vs Montrose#3

2-1W

22 Sept2026

Kelty Hearts#5 vs Hearts b

3-5L

19 Sept2026

Kelty Hearts#5 vs Edinburgh City#8

1-3L

12 Sept2026

Clyde#2 vs Kelty Hearts#5

4-1L

08 Sept2026

Cumbernauld Colts vs Kelty Hearts#5

0-3W

Team 2 Form

Elgin City · # = league position now

24 Oct2026

Stirling University vs Elgin City#3

1-2W

17 Oct2026

Elgin City#3 vs Edinburgh City#8

0-0D

13 Oct2026

Elgin City#3 vs Aberdeen b

0-1L

10 Oct2026

Forfar Athletic#9 vs Elgin City#3

1-2W

03 Oct2026

Elgin City#3 vs Clyde#2

6-2W

26 Sept2026

Peterhead#8 vs Elgin City#3

0-1W

22 Sept2026

Elgin City#3 vs Dundee fc b

3-0W

19 Sept2026

Elgin City#3 vs Stranraer#1

1-5L

12 Sept2026

Annan#10 vs Elgin City#3

2-0L

08 Sept2026

Elgin City#3 vs Fraserburgh

7-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

15 Aug2026