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Football · Championship · England

Burnley vs Portsmouth

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Portsmouth favourites at 58% (Burnley 20%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.69 to 0.87, Portsmouth sitting 11th in the table to Burnley's 22nd, 4 wins in Portsmouth's last 10 matches to 1 for Burnley and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Portsmouth about 26% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 57%.

Key facts

  • Burnley scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • They last met on 1 Feb 2025, when it finished 0-0.
England•Championship
Burnley(3)
Rank 22 · 8 pts
L3d
L11d
D14d
W17d
D38d
L45d
D49d
L52d
D55d
L59d
1W · 4D · 5L
vs
Portsmouth(5)
Rank 11 · 18 pts
W3d
D7d
W10d
W13d
L16d
D38d
D45d
W52d
L56d
L59d
4W · 3D · 3L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
14/2012/11
1.401.20
2.001.10
10/107/10
2/104/10
9/107/10
6/104/10
1/103/10
0/103/10
10/107/10
7/104/10
9/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Burnley at homePortsmouth away
55
0/51/5
3/52/5
2/52/5
1.200.60
1.600.80
5/53/5
1/50/5
0/50/5
5/53/5
3/51/5
0/52/5
0/52/5
3/51/5
5/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Burnley: 0.87
Expected Goals
Portsmouth: 1.69
Burnley
20%
Draw
22%
Portsmouth
58%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 57%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.9%
1 — Burnley
1.97
Implied 47%
Edge -27.0%
X
3.50
Implied 26%
Edge -4.5%
2 — Portsmouth
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge +31.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Burnley · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Lincoln#15 vs Burnley#22
4-1L
16 Oct2026
Burnley#22 vs Wolves#4
1-2L
13 Oct2026
Burnley#22 vs Charlton#19
2-2D
10 Oct2026
Watford#21 vs Burnley#22
0-4W
19 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Derby#23
1-1D
12 Sept2026
Swansea#2 vs Burnley#22
3-1L
08 Sept2026
Wrexham#17 vs Burnley#22
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Bristol City#14
1-2L
02 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Middlesbrough#1
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Norwich#20 vs Burnley#22
4-1L
Team 2 Form
Portsmouth · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Portsmouth#11 vs Millwall#13
2-1W
20 Oct2026
Wolves#4 vs Portsmouth#11
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Norwich#20 vs Portsmouth#11
0-1W
14 Oct2026
Portsmouth#11 vs Sheffield Utd#12
3-2W
11 Oct2026
Southampton#6 vs Portsmouth#11
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Portsmouth#11 vs Blackburn#10
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Charlton#19 vs Portsmouth#11
0-0D
05 Sept2026
Portsmouth#11 vs Cardiff#16
2-0W
01 Sept2026
Portsmouth#11 vs Derby#23
0-2L
29 Aug2026
Bristol City#14 vs Portsmouth#11
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Feb2025
Portsmouth#11 vs Burnley#22
0-0•
21 Sept2024
Burnley#22 vs Portsmouth#11
2-1•
31 Mar2012
Portsmouth#11 vs Burnley#22
1-5•
10 Dec2011
Burnley#22 vs Portsmouth#11
0-1•
25 Apr2011
Burnley#22 vs Portsmouth#11
1-1•
25 Jan2011
Portsmouth#11 vs Burnley#22
1-2•
27 Feb2010
Burnley#22 vs Portsmouth#11
1-2•
05 Dec2009
Portsmouth#11 vs Burnley#22
2-0•
25 Sept2007
Burnley#22 vs Portsmouth#11
0-1•
15 Apr2003
Portsmouth#11 vs Burnley#22
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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