Basketball · NBL · Australia
South East Melbourne vs Melbourne United
Thursday, 24 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.South East Melbourne vs Melbourne United in NBL (Basketball) on Thursday, 24 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
South East Melbourne vs Melbourne United
24 Sept • 12:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
South East Melbourne
55%to win
by ~1.5 pts vs Melbourne Uni…
Projected Total
191.9pts
96.7 – 95.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
101.5pts
49.8 – 51.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South… | 24.9 | 24.9 | 24.6 | 22.1 |
| Melbo… | 23.7 | 28 | 17.8 | 25.8 |
| Total | 48.6 | 52.9 | 42.4 | 47.9 |
from last 5+5 games
South East Melbourne
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 103.1 — Allowed: 100.2 — Pace: 203.3
Melbourne United
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 88 — Allowed: 86 — Pace: 174
South East Melbourne Form
South East Melbou…
L10d
W13d
L185d
W188d
L192d
W198d
L211d
W216d
L222d
W225d
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:37-2130-3317-2629-25
Q:28-1731-2824-1925-32
Q:19-3025-2739-2018-15
Q:25-2725-2127-2727-22
Melbourne United Form
Melbourne United
W12d
L195d
W197d
W211d
L215d
W218d
L223d
L231d
W236d
W240d
Q:21-1930-2525-3427-20
Q:22-1922-3423-1028-14
Q:15-1725-1416-2426-13
Q:33-2319-1916-3027-19
Q:24-2921-2518-2328-23
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:33-2319-1916-3027-19
Q:32-2228-2323-2128-20
Q:28-2717-2012-2124-24
Q:29-2423-2223-2428-13
Q:30-2616-2830-2227-17
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — South East Melbourne 3 / Melbourne United 7. Average total: 192.4.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 96.7,
"team_2": 95.2,
"total": 191.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 55,
"team_2": 45
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 88,
"avg_pa": 86,
"w_avg_pf": 88.2,
"w_avg_pa": 87,
"pace": 174,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 192.4
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"probability": 55,
"margin_pts": 1.5,
"opponent": "Melbourne United",
"opponent_probability": 45
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 191.9,
"team_1_proj": 96.7,
"team_2_proj": 95.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 49.8,
"team_2": 51.7,
"total": 101.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.9,
24.9,
24.6,
22.1
],
"away": [
23.7,
28,
17.8,
25.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
48.6,
52.9,
42.4,
47.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 49.8,
"away": 51.7,
"total": 101.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.249,
"q2": 0.294,
"q3": 0.187,
"q4": 0.271,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Melbourne United +ML",
"team": "Melbourne United",
"win_prob": 45,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Melbourne United has live shot (45%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "South East Melbourne vs Melbourne United",
"date": "2026-09-24",
"time": "12:30",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "South East Melbourne",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "100-103",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
27,
26,
15
],
"away": [
25,
27,
24,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-105",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
37,
30,
17,
29
],
"away": [
21,
33,
26,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "108-96",
"home_points": 108,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 204,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
31,
24,
25
],
"away": [
17,
28,
19,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "101-92",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
25,
39,
18
],
"away": [
30,
27,
20,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.03.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "104-97",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
25,
27,
27
],
"away": [
27,
21,
27,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.03.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "111-94",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "95-91",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "120-104",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 224,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "88-114",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 202,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "83-114",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Melbourne United",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "103-98",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
30,
25,
27
],
"away": [
19,
25,
34,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.03.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "95-77",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
22,
23,
28
],
"away": [
19,
34,
10,
14
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.03.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"score": "82-68",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
25,
16,
26
],
"away": [
17,
14,
24,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "95-91",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
19,
16,
27
],
"away": [
23,
19,
30,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "91-100",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 191,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
21,
18,
28
],
"away": [
29,
25,
23,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.02.26",
"home": "Cairns Taipans",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "85-89",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "76-87",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.01.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "97-95",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "25.01.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "73-74",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 147,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.01.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "98-66",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "95-91",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
19,
16,
27
],
"away": [
23,
19,
30,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.12.25",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "111-86",
"home_points": 111,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
28,
23,
28
],
"away": [
22,
23,
21,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.11.25",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "81-92",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 92,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
17,
12,
24
],
"away": [
27,
20,
21,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.09.25",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "103-83",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
23,
23,
28
],
"away": [
24,
22,
24,
13
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.02.25",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "103-93",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
30,
16,
30,
27
],
"away": [
26,
28,
22,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.12.24",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "109-97",
"home_points": 109,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 206,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.10.24",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "84-93",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.09.24",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "84-96",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "31.08.24",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "120-121",
"home_points": 120,
"away_points": 121,
"total_points": 241,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.02.24",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "99-83",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 96.7,
"team_2": 95.2,
"total": 191.9
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 55,
"team_2": 45
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 103.1,
"avg_pa": 100.2,
"w_avg_pf": 102.9,
"w_avg_pa": 100.6,
"pace": 203.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 88,
"avg_pa": 86,
"w_avg_pf": 88.2,
"w_avg_pa": 87,
"pace": 174,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 192.4
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "South East Melbourne",
"probability": 55,
"margin_pts": 1.5,
"opponent": "Melbourne United",
"opponent_probability": 45
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 191.9,
"team_1_proj": 96.7,
"team_2_proj": 95.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 49.8,
"team_2": 51.7,
"total": 101.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.9,
24.9,
24.6,
22.1
],
"away": [
23.7,
28,
17.8,
25.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
48.6,
52.9,
42.4,
47.9
],
"halftime": {
"home": 49.8,
"away": 51.7,
"total": 101.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.258,
"q2": 0.258,
"q3": 0.255,
"q4": 0.229,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.249,
"q2": 0.294,
"q3": 0.187,
"q4": 0.271,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Melbourne United +ML",
"team": "Melbourne United",
"win_prob": 45,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Melbourne United has live shot (45%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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