Basketball · NBL · Australia
Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks
Friday, 25 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks in NBL (Basketball) on Friday, 25 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks
25 Sept • 12:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Illawarra Hawks
88%to win
by ~14.2 pts vs Brisbane Bull…
Projected Total
195.8pts
90.8 – 105
no market line
Halftime Proj
101.3pts
48.3 – 53
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisb… | 24.5 | 23.8 | 20.8 | 21.8 |
| Illaw… | 25.2 | 27.8 | 29.4 | 22.5 |
| Total | 49.7 | 51.6 | 50.2 | 44.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Brisbane Bullets
Last 10: 0–10 (0%)
PPG: 79.2 — Allowed: 106.1 — Pace: 185.3
Illawarra Hawks
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 100.7 — Allowed: 98.3 — Pace: 199
Brisbane Bullets Form
Brisbane Bullets
L7d
L14d
L211d
L218d
L223d
L225d
L234d
L236d
L241d
L247d
Q:28-3121-3623-2926-33
Q:37-2130-3317-2629-25
Q:33-2617-3210-3217-27
Q:29-1922-1825-1818-20
Q:13-2423-1921-1815-20
Illawarra Hawks Form
Illawarra Hawks
L13d
W213d
W216d
L218d
L224d
W226d
L231d
L233d
W236d
W238d
Q:21-1930-2525-3427-20
Q:18-2616-2817-2719-22
Q:24-2921-2518-2328-23
Q:19-3427-2423-2625-36
Q:33-2528-2523-3022-15
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:11-2220-3321-4123-17
Q:23-3326-1722-1829-17
Q:34-1834-2921-2427-18
Q:35-2021-2135-1930-27
Q:34-2916-1918-3416-20
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Brisbane Bullets 2 / Illawarra Hawks 8. Average total: 190.2.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 90.8,
"team_2": 105,
"total": 195.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 12,
"team_2": 88
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 10,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 106.1,
"w_avg_pf": 80.7,
"w_avg_pa": 107.3,
"pace": 185.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 100.7,
"avg_pa": 98.3,
"w_avg_pf": 100.3,
"w_avg_pa": 98.2,
"pace": 199,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 190.2
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Illawarra Hawks",
"probability": 88,
"margin_pts": 14.2,
"opponent": "Brisbane Bullets",
"opponent_probability": 12
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 195.8,
"team_1_proj": 90.8,
"team_2_proj": 105,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.3,
"team_2": 53,
"total": 101.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.5,
23.8,
20.8,
21.8
],
"away": [
25.2,
27.8,
29.4,
22.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
49.7,
51.6,
50.2,
44.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.3,
"away": 53,
"total": 101.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.27,
"q2": 0.262,
"q3": 0.229,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.265,
"q3": 0.28,
"q4": 0.214,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Illawarra Hawks to win",
"team": "Illawarra Hawks",
"win_prob": 88,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected margin ~14 pts; form 50% vs 0% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 196)",
"projected": 195.8,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined pace 192.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks",
"date": "2026-09-25",
"time": "12:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Brisbane Bullets",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "98-129",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 129,
"total_points": 227,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
21,
23,
26
],
"away": [
31,
36,
29,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-105",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
37,
30,
17,
29
],
"away": [
21,
33,
26,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "77-117",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 117,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
17,
10,
17
],
"away": [
26,
32,
32,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "94-75",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
22,
25,
18
],
"away": [
19,
18,
18,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "72-81",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
23,
21,
15
],
"away": [
24,
19,
18,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "114-70",
"home_points": 114,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "74-107",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 107,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "75-113",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.01.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "98-66",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.01.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "95-80",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Illawarra Hawks",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "103-98",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
30,
25,
27
],
"away": [
19,
25,
34,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "70-103",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
16,
17,
19
],
"away": [
26,
28,
27,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.02.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "91-100",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 191,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
21,
18,
28
],
"away": [
29,
25,
23,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "94-120",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 120,
"total_points": 214,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
27,
23,
25
],
"away": [
34,
24,
26,
36
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "106-95",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
28,
23,
22
],
"away": [
25,
25,
30,
15
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "100-99",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 99,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "31.01.26",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Perth",
"score": "99-106",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 106,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.01.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "122-104",
"home_points": 122,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 226,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "75-113",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.01.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "91-101",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "26.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "75-113",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
11,
20,
21,
23
],
"away": [
22,
33,
41,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.12.25",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "100-85",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 185,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
23,
26,
22,
29
],
"away": [
33,
17,
18,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.10.25",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "116-89",
"home_points": 116,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 205,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
34,
34,
21,
27
],
"away": [
18,
29,
24,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.01.25",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "121-87",
"home_points": 121,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 208,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
21,
35,
30
],
"away": [
20,
21,
19,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.12.24",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "84-102",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
34,
16,
18,
16
],
"away": [
29,
19,
34,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.24",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-101",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 101,
"total_points": 214,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.02.24",
"home": "Illawarra Hawks",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "89-76",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "14.01.24",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "110-103",
"home_points": 110,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 213,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.12.23",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.09.23",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "88-95",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 90.8,
"team_2": 105,
"total": 195.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 12,
"team_2": 88
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 10,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 106.1,
"w_avg_pf": 80.7,
"w_avg_pa": 107.3,
"pace": 185.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 100.7,
"avg_pa": 98.3,
"w_avg_pf": 100.3,
"w_avg_pa": 98.2,
"pace": 199,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 190.2
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Illawarra Hawks",
"probability": 88,
"margin_pts": 14.2,
"opponent": "Brisbane Bullets",
"opponent_probability": 12
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 195.8,
"team_1_proj": 90.8,
"team_2_proj": 105,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.3,
"team_2": 53,
"total": 101.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.5,
23.8,
20.8,
21.8
],
"away": [
25.2,
27.8,
29.4,
22.5
],
"per_quarter_total": [
49.7,
51.6,
50.2,
44.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.3,
"away": 53,
"total": 101.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.27,
"q2": 0.262,
"q3": 0.229,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.24,
"q2": 0.265,
"q3": 0.28,
"q4": 0.214,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Illawarra Hawks to win",
"team": "Illawarra Hawks",
"win_prob": 88,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected margin ~14 pts; form 50% vs 0% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 196)",
"projected": 195.8,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined pace 192.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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