Basketball · LKL · Lithuania
Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas in LKL (Basketball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Lithuania • LKL
Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas
20 Sept • 16:50
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Zalgiris Kaunas
81%to win
by ~10.3 pts vs Neptunas
Projected Total
171pts
80.3 – 90.7
no market line
Halftime Proj
85.7pts
43.2 – 42.5
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neptu… | 25.1 | 18.1 | 19.4 | 17.7 |
| Zalgi… | 21.5 | 21 | 25.1 | 23 |
| Total | 46.6 | 39.1 | 44.5 | 40.7 |
from last 5+5 games
Neptunas
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 85.3 — Allowed: 81.4 — Pace: 166.7
Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
PPG: 96.3 — Allowed: 75.7 — Pace: 172
Neptunas Form
Neptunas
W98d
W100d
L103d
W105d
L108d
W110d
L113d
L115d
W119d
W121d
Q:26-2816-2222-2018-21
Q:15-2425-1310-1516-11
Q:18-2813-1325-1324-14
Q:31-1415-2323-2517-11
Q:25-2330-1323-3425-20
Zalgiris Kaunas Form
Zalgiris Kaunas
W2d
W8d
L9d
W13d
W99d
W102d
W104d
W111d
W114d
W116d
Q:18-2319-2120-2820-26
Q:19-1621-1624-922-14
Q:15-2118-2428-2121-17
Q:28-2028-1629-1927-23
Q:28-1822-2121-1724-21
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:22-2728-2719-2821-11
Q:31-2225-2235-2028-17
Q:19-2732-1020-1816-21
Q:31-2532-623-1826-28
Q:16-2317-2017-2021-21
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Neptunas 0 / Zalgiris Kaunas 10. Average total: 168.1.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 80.3,
"team_2": 90.7,
"total": 171
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 19,
"team_2": 81
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 85.3,
"avg_pa": 81.4,
"w_avg_pf": 84.4,
"w_avg_pa": 81.1,
"pace": 166.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 75.7,
"w_avg_pf": 96.2,
"w_avg_pa": 75.2,
"pace": 172,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 0,
"t2_wins": 10,
"t1_win_rate": 0,
"avg_total": 168.1
},
"confidence": 98,
"winner": {
"team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"probability": 81,
"margin_pts": 10.3,
"opponent": "Neptunas",
"opponent_probability": 19
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 171,
"team_1_proj": 80.3,
"team_2_proj": 90.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 43.2,
"team_2": 42.5,
"total": 85.7,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
25.1,
18.1,
19.4,
17.7
],
"away": [
21.5,
21,
25.1,
23
],
"per_quarter_total": [
46.6,
39.1,
44.5,
40.7
],
"halftime": {
"home": 43.2,
"away": 42.5,
"total": 85.7
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.313,
"q2": 0.226,
"q3": 0.242,
"q4": 0.22,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.237,
"q2": 0.232,
"q3": 0.277,
"q4": 0.254,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Zalgiris Kaunas to win",
"team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"win_prob": 81,
"confidence": 98,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 90% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LKL",
"country": "Lithuania",
"match": "Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "16:50",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Neptunas",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.06.26",
"home": "Lietkabelis",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "82-91",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
16,
22,
18
],
"away": [
28,
22,
20,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.06.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Lietkabelis",
"score": "66-63",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 63,
"total_points": 129,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
25,
10,
16
],
"away": [
24,
13,
15,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.06.26",
"home": "Lietkabelis",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "80-68",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 148,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
13,
25,
24
],
"away": [
28,
13,
13,
14
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Lietkabelis",
"score": "86-73",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
15,
23,
17
],
"away": [
14,
23,
25,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.06.26",
"home": "Juventus",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "103-90",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 193,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
30,
23,
25
],
"away": [
23,
13,
34,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.06.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "102-84",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 186,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "29.05.26",
"home": "Juventus",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "86-83",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.05.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "83-96",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "23.05.26",
"home": "Gargzdai",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "74-84",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 158,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.05.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Gargzdai",
"score": "100-73",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "17.09.26",
"home": "Gargzdai",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "77-98",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
19,
20,
20
],
"away": [
23,
21,
28,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Slask Wroclaw",
"score": "86-55",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 55,
"total_points": 141,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
21,
24,
22
],
"away": [
16,
16,
9,
14
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Paris",
"score": "82-83",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
18,
28,
21
],
"away": [
21,
24,
21,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Sabah Baku",
"score": "112-78",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
28,
29,
27
],
"away": [
20,
16,
19,
23
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.06.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "95-77",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 172,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
22,
21,
24
],
"away": [
18,
21,
17,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.06.26",
"home": "Juventus",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "69-100",
"home_points": 69,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.06.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Juventus",
"score": "107-75",
"home_points": 107,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "31.05.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Lietkabelis",
"score": "103-93",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 196,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.05.26",
"home": "Lietkabelis",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "75-95",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 170,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.05.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Lietkabelis",
"score": "85-75",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.05.26",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "90-93",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
28,
19,
21
],
"away": [
27,
27,
28,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.02.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "119-81",
"home_points": 119,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 200,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
25,
35,
28
],
"away": [
22,
22,
20,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "87-76",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
32,
20,
16
],
"away": [
27,
10,
18,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.01.26",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "112-77",
"home_points": 112,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
32,
23,
26
],
"away": [
25,
6,
18,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.09.25",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "71-84",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
17,
17,
21
],
"away": [
23,
20,
20,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.05.25",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "70-98",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.05.25",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "88-75",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.05.25",
"home": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"away": "Neptunas",
"score": "84-49",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 49,
"total_points": 133,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.03.25",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "67-80",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 147,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.02.25",
"home": "Neptunas",
"away": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"score": "89-91",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 80.3,
"team_2": 90.7,
"total": 171
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 19,
"team_2": 81
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 85.3,
"avg_pa": 81.4,
"w_avg_pf": 84.4,
"w_avg_pa": 81.1,
"pace": 166.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 75.7,
"w_avg_pf": 96.2,
"w_avg_pa": 75.2,
"pace": 172,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 0,
"t2_wins": 10,
"t1_win_rate": 0,
"avg_total": 168.1
},
"confidence": 98,
"winner": {
"team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"probability": 81,
"margin_pts": 10.3,
"opponent": "Neptunas",
"opponent_probability": 19
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 171,
"team_1_proj": 80.3,
"team_2_proj": 90.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 43.2,
"team_2": 42.5,
"total": 85.7,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
25.1,
18.1,
19.4,
17.7
],
"away": [
21.5,
21,
25.1,
23
],
"per_quarter_total": [
46.6,
39.1,
44.5,
40.7
],
"halftime": {
"home": 43.2,
"away": 42.5,
"total": 85.7
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.313,
"q2": 0.226,
"q3": 0.242,
"q4": 0.22,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.237,
"q2": 0.232,
"q3": 0.277,
"q4": 0.254,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Zalgiris Kaunas to win",
"team": "Zalgiris Kaunas",
"win_prob": 81,
"confidence": 98,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 90% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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