Basketball · South American League - First stage · South America
Mogi vs Alvarado
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Mogi vs Alvarado in South American League - First stage (Basketball) on Sunday, 04 October 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
South America • South American League - First stage
Mogi vs Alvarado
04 Oct • 00:10
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Mogi
84%to win
by ~11.8 pts vs Alvarado
Projected Total
166.3pts
89.1 – 77.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
83.9pts
46.2 – 37.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi | 24.8 | 21.4 | 23.1 | 19.9 |
| Alvar… | 19.1 | 18.6 | 19.9 | 19.7 |
| Total | 43.9 | 40 | 43 | 39.6 |
from last 5+5 games
Mogi
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 80.6 — Allowed: 81.7 — Pace: 162.3
Alvarado
Last 7: 0–7 (0%)
PPG: 73.3 — Allowed: 92.3 — Pace: 165.6
Mogi Form
Mogi
W0d
L140d
W142d
L146d
L147d
W150d
W158d
W161d
W163d
L168d
Q:17-2816-1629-2518-20
Q:20-2520-1117-2321-18
Q:26-2821-3123-2620-17
Q:16-3424-2414-1616-14
Q:16-2115-2617-2217-28
Alvarado Form
Alvarado
L0d
L4370d
L4371d
L4371d
L4733d
L4734d
L4735d
Q:24-626-1410-2425-16
Q:26-1121-1818-1813-18
Q:19-3215-1911-3112-16
Q:29-1828-1325-2624-24
Q:35-2023-238-2519-30
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.1,
"team_2": 77.2,
"total": 166.3
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 16
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 80.6,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 81.3,
"w_avg_pa": 82.4,
"pace": 162.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 7,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 73.3,
"avg_pa": 92.3,
"w_avg_pf": 72.1,
"w_avg_pa": 91.9,
"pace": 165.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.43
}
},
"h2h_summary": null,
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Mogi",
"probability": 84,
"margin_pts": 11.8,
"opponent": "Alvarado",
"opponent_probability": 16
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 166.3,
"team_1_proj": 89.1,
"team_2_proj": 77.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.2,
"team_2": 37.7,
"total": 83.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
21.4,
23.1,
19.9
],
"away": [
19.1,
18.6,
19.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
43.9,
40,
43,
39.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.2,
"away": 37.7,
"total": 83.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.278,
"q2": 0.24,
"q3": 0.259,
"q4": 0.223,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.247,
"q2": 0.241,
"q3": 0.257,
"q4": 0.255,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Mogi to win",
"team": "Mogi",
"win_prob": 84,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Projected margin ~12 pts; form 60% vs 0% (last 10/7)"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "South American League - First stage",
"country": "South America",
"match": "Mogi vs Alvarado",
"date": "2026-10-04",
"time": "00:10",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Mogi",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "03.10.26",
"home": "Olimpia Kings",
"away": "Mogi",
"score": "80-89",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
16,
29,
18
],
"away": [
28,
16,
25,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.05.26",
"home": "Franca",
"away": "Mogi",
"score": "78-77",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
20,
17,
21
],
"away": [
25,
11,
23,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.05.26",
"home": "Franca",
"away": "Mogi",
"score": "90-102",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
21,
23,
20
],
"away": [
28,
31,
26,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Mogi",
"away": "Franca",
"score": "70-88",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 158,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
24,
14,
16
],
"away": [
34,
24,
16,
14
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Mogi",
"away": "Franca",
"score": "65-97",
"home_points": 65,
"away_points": 97,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
15,
17,
17
],
"away": [
21,
26,
22,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.05.26",
"home": "Franca",
"away": "Mogi",
"score": "93-95",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.04.26",
"home": "Mogi",
"away": "Sao Jose",
"score": "81-70",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 151,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "25.04.26",
"home": "Mogi",
"away": "Sao Jose",
"score": "79-75",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 154,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "23.04.26",
"home": "Sao Jose",
"away": "Mogi",
"score": "70-75",
"home_points": 70,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "18.04.26",
"home": "Mogi",
"away": "Osasco",
"score": "73-76",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Alvarado",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "03.10.26",
"home": "Independiente de Oliva",
"away": "Alvarado",
"score": "85-60",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 60,
"total_points": 145,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
26,
10,
25
],
"away": [
6,
14,
24,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.10.14",
"home": "Argentino",
"away": "Alvarado",
"score": "78-65",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 65,
"total_points": 143,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
21,
18,
13
],
"away": [
11,
18,
18,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.10.14",
"home": "Alvarado",
"away": "Limeira",
"score": "57-98",
"home_points": 57,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
15,
11,
12
],
"away": [
32,
19,
31,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.10.14",
"home": "Aguada",
"away": "Alvarado",
"score": "106-81",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 187,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
28,
25,
24
],
"away": [
18,
13,
26,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.10.13",
"home": "Alvarado",
"away": "Penarol",
"score": "85-98",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 98,
"total_points": 183,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
35,
23,
8,
19
],
"away": [
20,
23,
25,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.10.13",
"home": "Sao Jose",
"away": "Alvarado",
"score": "85-72",
"home_points": 85,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.10.13",
"home": "Alvarado",
"away": "Bucaros",
"score": "93-96",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 189,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": []
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 89.1,
"team_2": 77.2,
"total": 166.3
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 84,
"team_2": 16
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 80.6,
"avg_pa": 81.7,
"w_avg_pf": 81.3,
"w_avg_pa": 82.4,
"pace": 162.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 7,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 73.3,
"avg_pa": 92.3,
"w_avg_pf": 72.1,
"w_avg_pa": 91.9,
"pace": 165.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.43
}
},
"h2h_summary": null,
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Mogi",
"probability": 84,
"margin_pts": 11.8,
"opponent": "Alvarado",
"opponent_probability": 16
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 166.3,
"team_1_proj": 89.1,
"team_2_proj": 77.2,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 46.2,
"team_2": 37.7,
"total": 83.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.8,
21.4,
23.1,
19.9
],
"away": [
19.1,
18.6,
19.9,
19.7
],
"per_quarter_total": [
43.9,
40,
43,
39.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 46.2,
"away": 37.7,
"total": 83.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.278,
"q2": 0.24,
"q3": 0.259,
"q4": 0.223,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.247,
"q2": 0.241,
"q3": 0.257,
"q4": 0.255,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Mogi to win",
"team": "Mogi",
"win_prob": 84,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Projected margin ~12 pts; form 60% vs 0% (last 10/7)"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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