Basketball · NBA · USA
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Toronto Raptors105-129Miami Heat
Prediction and result
Before tip-off, the model made Toronto Raptors favourites at 57%, projecting 101-98 (about 199 points in total). That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 4. Miami Heat won 129-105, against the model's 57% for Toronto Raptors.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 17 Jul 2026, when Toronto Raptors won 99-90.
Usa • NBA
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat
04 Oct • 02:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Toronto Raptors105-129Miami Heat
Predicted Winner
Toronto Raptors
57%to win
by ~2.1 pts vs Miami Heat
Projected Total
198.8pts
100.5 – 98.3
no market line
Halftime Proj
99.8pts
50.9 – 48.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toron… | 23.9 | 27 | 23.8 | 25.7 |
| Miami… | 24.6 | 24.3 | 24.9 | 24.6 |
| Total | 48.5 | 51.3 | 48.7 | 50.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Toronto Raptors
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 101.7 — Allowed: 99.3 — Pace: 201
Miami Heat
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 101.4 — Allowed: 96.4 — Pace: 197.8
Toronto Raptors Form
Toronto Raptors
L116d
W119d
W123d
W124d
L125d
L193d
W195d
L197d
W201d
W203d
Q:29-2318-2420-3022-19
Q:23-1924-3823-1720-25
Q:16-2629-1924-2524-24
Q:19-2133-2027-2823-20
Q:16-1418-1220-2823-23OT 3-6
Miami Heat Form
Miami Heat
W118d
L119d
L122d
L125d
W126d
W129d
L131d
W132d
L212d
W214d
Q:22-2419-2825-2035-15
Q:23-1924-3823-1720-25
Q:21-2026-1618-2325-14
Q:26-2520-2733-1814-18
Q:26-3130-2529-734-23
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:23-1924-3823-1720-25
Q:32-2637-2433-4026-24
Q:32-2732-2430-2527-19
Q:16-2128-3023-3124-30
Q:22-2330-2325-2819-32
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Toronto Raptors 6 / Miami Heat 4. Average total: 215.
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