Basketball · Russian Cup Women - First stage · Russia

Kazanochka K. W vs Noginsk W

Thursday, 17 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Kazanochka K. W vs Noginsk W in Russian Cup Women - First stage (Basketball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

RussiaRussian Cup Women - First stage
Kazanochka K. W vs Noginsk W
17 Sept18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Kazanochka K. W
92%to win
by ~17.5 pts vs Noginsk W
Projected Total
135.8pts
76.759.1
no market line
Halftime Proj
64.9pts
35.829.1
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Kazan…19.116.720.220.6
Nogin…1415.116.713.4
Total33.131.836.934
from last 5+5 games
Kazanochka K. W
Last 10: 55 (50%)
PPG: 71.2 — Allowed: 62.8 — Pace: 134
Noginsk W
Last 10: 28 (20%)
PPG: 54.8 — Allowed: 76.7 — Pace: 131.5
Kazanochka K. W Form
Kazanochka K. W
L1d
L2d
W366d
W367d
L368d
L725d
W726d
W727d
L1096d
W1097d
5W · 5L
16 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Spartak Mosco…
58-63L
Q:12-2011-1014-1721-16
15 Sept
Spartak St. P… vs Kazanochka K.…
73-69L
Q:22-1622-1614-2115-16
16 Sept
Spartak St. P… vs Kazanochka K.…
66-76W
Q:25-2313-1514-2014-18
15 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Yunost Penzev…
98-43W
Q:20-1125-1425-628-12
14 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Cheboksary W
83-91L
Q:25-2618-1821-2719-20
22 Sept
Vologda W vs Kazanochka K.…
68-65L
21 Sept
Cheboksary W vs Kazanochka K.…
54-61W
20 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Yunost Penzev…
74-54W
17 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
67-69L
16 Sept
Yunost Penzev… vs Kazanochka K.…
47-61W
Noginsk W Form
Noginsk W
L1d
W2d
L364d
W365d
L726d
L727d
L728d
L1058d
L1059d
L1088d
2W · 8L
16 Sept
Noginsk W vs Spartak St. P…
68-75L
Q:12-2218-1723-1615-20
15 Sept
Spartak Mosco… vs Noginsk W
62-64W
Q:10-1324-1512-2116-15
18 Sept
Vladimir W vs Noginsk W
74-63L
Q:19-1521-1317-2017-15
17 Sept
Noginsk W vs Spartak Mosco…
72-63W
Q:15-1520-1920-1917-10
21 Sept
Vladimir W vs Noginsk W
79-34L
Q:22-1217-1016-524-7
20 Sept
Noginsk W vs Ivanovo W
45-74L
19 Sept
Spartak Mosco… vs Noginsk W
78-63L
25 Oct
Enisey Krasno… vs Noginsk W
78-39L
24 Oct
Noginsk W vs Enisey Krasno…
51-108L
25 Sept
Runa Moscow W vs Noginsk W
76-49L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
17 Sept
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
67-69
Q:18-1810-2119-1820-12
21 Jan
Noginsk W vs Kazanochka K.…
55-77
Q:17-1613-1410-2015-27
08 Oct
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
74-68
Q:14-1719-1823-1718-16
25 Mar
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
73-67
Q:25-1917-89-1722-23
14 Feb
Noginsk W vs Kazanochka K.…
62-85
Q:16-2422-268-1816-17
30 Oct
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
65-58
09 Apr
Noginsk W vs Kazanochka K.…
69-52
11 Jan
Noginsk W vs Kazanochka K.…
67-69
12 Oct
Kazanochka K.… vs Noginsk W
61-66
Head-to-head summary
9 meetings — Kazanochka K. W 6 / Noginsk W 3. Average total: 133.8.
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 76.7,
    "team_2": 59.1,
    "total": 135.8
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 92,
    "team_2": 8
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 5,
      "losses": 5,
      "win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_pf": 71.2,
      "avg_pa": 62.8,
      "w_avg_pf": 71.6,
      "w_avg_pa": 63.5,
      "pace": 134,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 2,
      "losses": 8,
      "win_rate": 0.2,
      "avg_pf": 54.8,
      "avg_pa": 76.7,
      "w_avg_pf": 56.1,
      "w_avg_pa": 75.4,
      "pace": 131.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.6
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 9,
    "t1_wins": 6,
    "t2_wins": 3,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
    "avg_total": 133.8
  },
  "confidence": 100,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Kazanochka K. W",
    "probability": 92,
    "margin_pts": 17.5,
    "opponent": "Noginsk W",
    "opponent_probability": 8
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 135.8,
    "team_1_proj": 76.7,
    "team_2_proj": 59.1,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 35.8,
    "team_2": 29.1,
    "total": 64.9,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      19.1,
      16.7,
      20.2,
      20.6
    ],
    "away": [
      14,
      15.1,
      16.7,
      13.4
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      33.1,
      31.8,
      36.9,
      34
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 35.8,
      "away": 29.1,
      "total": 64.9
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.249,
      "q2": 0.218,
      "q3": 0.263,
      "q4": 0.269,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.236,
      "q2": 0.255,
      "q3": 0.282,
      "q4": 0.227,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Kazanochka K. W to win",
      "team": "Kazanochka K. W",
      "win_prob": 92,
      "confidence": 100,
      "reason": "Projected margin ~18 pts; form 50% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 66% over last 9"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total points (Under)",
      "pick": "Under (projected 136)",
      "projected": 135.8,
      "confidence": 100,
      "reason": "Combined pace 132.8 < league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "Russian Cup Women - First stage",
  "country": "Russia",
  "match": "Kazanochka K. W vs Noginsk W",
  "date": "2026-09-17",
  "time": "18:00",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Kazanochka K. W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "16.09.26",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Spartak Moscow 2 W",
        "score": "58-63",
        "home_points": 58,
        "away_points": 63,
        "total_points": 121,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            12,
            11,
            14,
            21
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            10,
            17,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Spartak St. Petersburg W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "73-69",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 142,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            22,
            14,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            16,
            21,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "16.09.25",
        "home": "Spartak St. Petersburg W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "66-76",
        "home_points": 66,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 142,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            13,
            14,
            14
          ],
          "away": [
            23,
            15,
            20,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "15.09.25",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Yunost Penzevskaya Oblast W",
        "score": "98-43",
        "home_points": 98,
        "away_points": 43,
        "total_points": 141,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            20,
            25,
            25,
            28
          ],
          "away": [
            11,
            14,
            6,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.09.25",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Cheboksary W",
        "score": "83-91",
        "home_points": 83,
        "away_points": 91,
        "total_points": 174,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            18,
            21,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            26,
            18,
            27,
            20
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "22.09.24",
        "home": "Vologda W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "68-65",
        "home_points": 68,
        "away_points": 65,
        "total_points": 133,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "21.09.24",
        "home": "Cheboksary W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "54-61",
        "home_points": 54,
        "away_points": 61,
        "total_points": 115,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "20.09.24",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Yunost Penzevskaya Oblast W",
        "score": "74-54",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 54,
        "total_points": 128,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "17.09.23",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "67-69",
        "home_points": 67,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 136,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.09.23",
        "home": "Yunost Penzevskaya Oblast W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "47-61",
        "home_points": 47,
        "away_points": 61,
        "total_points": 108,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Noginsk W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "16.09.26",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Spartak St. Petersburg W",
        "score": "68-75",
        "home_points": 68,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 143,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            12,
            18,
            23,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            22,
            17,
            16,
            20
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Spartak Moscow 2 W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "62-64",
        "home_points": 62,
        "away_points": 64,
        "total_points": 126,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            10,
            24,
            12,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            13,
            15,
            21,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "18.09.25",
        "home": "Vladimir W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "74-63",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 63,
        "total_points": 137,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            19,
            21,
            17,
            17
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            13,
            20,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "17.09.25",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Spartak Moscow 2 W",
        "score": "72-63",
        "home_points": 72,
        "away_points": 63,
        "total_points": 135,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            20,
            20,
            17
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            19,
            19,
            10
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "21.09.24",
        "home": "Vladimir W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "79-34",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 34,
        "total_points": 113,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            22,
            17,
            16,
            24
          ],
          "away": [
            12,
            10,
            5,
            7
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "20.09.24",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Ivanovo W",
        "score": "45-74",
        "home_points": 45,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 119,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "19.09.24",
        "home": "Spartak Moscow 2 W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "78-63",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 63,
        "total_points": 141,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.10.23",
        "home": "Enisey Krasnoyarsk W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "78-39",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 39,
        "total_points": 117,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "24.10.23",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Enisey Krasnoyarsk W",
        "score": "51-108",
        "home_points": 51,
        "away_points": 108,
        "total_points": 159,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.09.23",
        "home": "Runa Moscow W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "76-49",
        "home_points": 76,
        "away_points": 49,
        "total_points": 125,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "17.09.23",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "67-69",
        "home_points": 67,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 136,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            10,
            19,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            21,
            18,
            12
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "21.01.18",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "55-77",
        "home_points": 55,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 132,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            17,
            13,
            10,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            14,
            20,
            27
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.10.17",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "74-68",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 142,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            14,
            19,
            23,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            17,
            18,
            17,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "25.03.17",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "73-67",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 67,
        "total_points": 140,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            17,
            9,
            22
          ],
          "away": [
            19,
            8,
            17,
            23
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.02.17",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "62-85",
        "home_points": 62,
        "away_points": 85,
        "total_points": 147,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            16,
            22,
            8,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            24,
            26,
            18,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.10.16",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "65-58",
        "home_points": 65,
        "away_points": 58,
        "total_points": 123,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.04.16",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "69-52",
        "home_points": 69,
        "away_points": 52,
        "total_points": 121,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "11.01.16",
        "home": "Noginsk W",
        "away": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "score": "67-69",
        "home_points": 67,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 136,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.10.15",
        "home": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "away": "Noginsk W",
        "score": "61-66",
        "home_points": 61,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 127,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 76.7,
      "team_2": 59.1,
      "total": 135.8
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 92,
      "team_2": 8
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 5,
        "losses": 5,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "avg_pf": 71.2,
        "avg_pa": 62.8,
        "w_avg_pf": 71.6,
        "w_avg_pa": 63.5,
        "pace": 134,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 2,
        "losses": 8,
        "win_rate": 0.2,
        "avg_pf": 54.8,
        "avg_pa": 76.7,
        "w_avg_pf": 56.1,
        "w_avg_pa": 75.4,
        "pace": 131.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.6
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 9,
      "t1_wins": 6,
      "t2_wins": 3,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
      "avg_total": 133.8
    },
    "confidence": 100,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Kazanochka K. W",
      "probability": 92,
      "margin_pts": 17.5,
      "opponent": "Noginsk W",
      "opponent_probability": 8
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 135.8,
      "team_1_proj": 76.7,
      "team_2_proj": 59.1,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 35.8,
      "team_2": 29.1,
      "total": 64.9,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        19.1,
        16.7,
        20.2,
        20.6
      ],
      "away": [
        14,
        15.1,
        16.7,
        13.4
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        33.1,
        31.8,
        36.9,
        34
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 35.8,
        "away": 29.1,
        "total": 64.9
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.249,
        "q2": 0.218,
        "q3": 0.263,
        "q4": 0.269,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.236,
        "q2": 0.255,
        "q3": 0.282,
        "q4": 0.227,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Kazanochka K. W to win",
        "team": "Kazanochka K. W",
        "win_prob": 92,
        "confidence": 100,
        "reason": "Projected margin ~18 pts; form 50% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 66% over last 9"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total points (Under)",
        "pick": "Under (projected 136)",
        "projected": 135.8,
        "confidence": 100,
        "reason": "Combined pace 132.8 < league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}

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