Basketball · WNBL Women · Australia
Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W
Sunday, 18 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Sydney W95-68Adelaide Lightning W
Prediction and result
Before tip-off, the model made Sydney W favourites at 56%, projecting 80-78 (about 158 points in total). That rests on a 4-6 record over the last 10 games against 2-8. Adelaide Lightning W lead the recent meetings 6-4, which keeps it close. Sydney W won 95-68, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Adelaide Lightning W have lost 4 matches in a row.
- They last met on 13 Jan 2026, when Adelaide Lightning W won 76-65.
Australia • WNBL Women
Sydney W vs Adelaide Lightning W
18 Oct • 05:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Sydney W95-68Adelaide Lightning W
Predicted Winner
Sydney W
56%to win
by ~1.7 pts vs Adelaide Ligh…
Projected Total
157.9pts
79.8 – 78.1
no market line
Halftime Proj
84.6pts
40.9 – 43.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydne… | 21.7 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 19.9 |
| Adela… | 23.6 | 20.1 | 17.2 | 17.2 |
| Total | 45.3 | 39.3 | 36.1 | 37.1 |
from last 5+5 games
Sydney W
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 80.3 — Allowed: 85.1 — Pace: 165.4
Adelaide Lightning W
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
PPG: 69.5 — Allowed: 76.2 — Pace: 145.7
Sydney W Form
Sydney W
W28d
L279d
L285d
L292d
L301d
L304d
W307d
W312d
L318d
W321d
Q:25-2621-1114-1913-21
Q:22-1630-1826-3330-26
Q:16-2523-2217-1720-25
Q:21-1512-158-2416-22
Q:20-2134-2735-1716-12
Adelaide Lightning W Form
Adelaide Lightnin…
L55d
L56d
L278d
L286d
W293d
L297d
L300d
W304d
L307d
L313d
Q:26-1717-1910-1517-25
Q:21-921-1916-2312-21
Q:19-2516-2315-1214-17
Q:17-2025-1813-2427-15
Q:16-2432-2221-169-23
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:23-2323-1312-1318-16
Q:20-1316-3017-2722-24
Q:24-1422-1928-1014-28
Q:30-915-1823-1916-14
Q:25-1818-1319-2111-34
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Sydney W 4 / Adelaide Lightning W 6. Average total: 152.
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