SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Basketball · WNBA · USA

Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W

Friday, 25 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Phoenix Mercury W82-100Las Vegas Aces W

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Las Vegas Aces W favourites at 58%, projecting 89-87 (about 176 points in total). That rests on a 6-4 record over the last 10 games against 3-7 and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Las Vegas Aces W won 100-82, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Las Vegas Aces W have won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 12 Jul 2026, when Las Vegas Aces W won 106-58.
Usa • WNBA
Phoenix Mercury W vs Las Vegas Aces W
25 Sept • 05:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Phoenix Mercury W82-100Las Vegas Aces W
Predicted Winner
Las Vegas Aces W
58%to win
by ~2.3 pts vs Phoenix Mercu…
Projected Total
175.5pts
86.6 – 88.9
no market line
Halftime Proj
87.6pts
41 – 46.6
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Phoen…202126.319.3
Las V…23.922.720.421.9
Total43.943.746.741.2
from last 5+5 games
Phoenix Mercury W
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 86.1 — Allowed: 88.4 — Pace: 174.5
Las Vegas Aces W
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 86.4 — Allowed: 86.3 — Pace: 172.7
Phoenix Mercury W Form
Phoenix Mercury W
W60d
L62d
L64d
L67d
L73d
W78d
L81d
L82d
L84d
W86d
3W · 7L
30 Aug2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Toronto Tempo…
101-69W↗
Q:27-1731-1830-1413-20
28 Aug2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Washington My…
73-80L↗
Q:18-2019-2020-1316-27
26 Aug2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Washington My…
84-94L↗
Q:15-2418-2727-2624-17
23 Aug2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Atlanta Dream…
89-99L↗
Q:18-2917-2133-2321-26
17 Aug2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Portland Fire…
85-88L↗
Q:22-1820-1822-2521-27
12 Aug2026
Los Angeles S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
87-94W↗
09 Aug2026
Washington My… vs Phoenix Mercu…
95-75L↗
08 Aug2026
Connecticut S… vs Phoenix Mercu…
75-72L↗
06 Aug2026
Atlanta Dream… vs Phoenix Mercu…
96-82L↗
04 Aug2026
Chicago Sky W vs Phoenix Mercu…
101-106W↗
Las Vegas Aces W Form
Las Vegas Aces W
W61d
W66d
W69d
L71d
L74d
W76d
W78d
L81d
L82d
W83d
6W · 4L
29 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Toronto Tempo…
93-73W↗
Q:27-1729-2218-1619-18
24 Aug2026
Toronto Tempo… vs Las Vegas Ace…
78-88W↗
Q:22-2517-1818-2321-22
21 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Connecticut S…
101-78W↗
Q:25-2423-2327-1626-15
19 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Atlanta Dream…
82-97L↗
Q:25-2416-2820-1921-26
16 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Minnesota Lyn…
87-92L↗
Q:19-2329-2516-2623-18
14 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Washington My…
83-76W↗
12 Aug2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Washington My…
86-76W↗
09 Aug2026
New York Libe… vs Las Vegas Ace…
111-71L↗
08 Aug2026
Minnesota Lyn… vs Las Vegas Ace…
98-87L↗
07 Aug2026
Indiana Fever… vs Las Vegas Ace…
84-86W↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
12 Jul2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
106-58↗
Q:29-928-1322-1427-22
18 Jun2026
Phoenix Mercu… vs Las Vegas Ace…
76-86↗
Q:28-2421-2115-2312-18
09 May2026
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
66-99↗
Q:21-2714-2910-2721-16
11 Oct2025
Phoenix Mercu… vs Las Vegas Ace…
86-97↗
Q:21-3017-2424-2224-21
09 Oct2025
Phoenix Mercu… vs Las Vegas Ace…
88-90↗
Q:23-2620-2916-2129-14
05 Oct2025
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
91-78↗
04 Oct2025
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
89-86↗
22 Aug2025
Las Vegas Ace… vs Phoenix Mercu…
83-61↗
16 Aug2025
Phoenix Mercu… vs Las Vegas Ace…
83-86↗
30 Jun2025
Phoenix Mercu… vs Las Vegas Ace…
81-84↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Phoenix Mercury W 1 / Las Vegas Aces W 9. Average total: 167.4.

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Basketball board.