Basketball · Euroleague · Europe
Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna
Friday, 25 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna in Euroleague (Basketball) on Friday, 25 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Europe • Euroleague
Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna
25 Sept • 20:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Fenerbahce
56%to win
by ~1.8 pts vs Virtus Bologna
Projected Total
170.5pts
86.2 – 84.3
no market line
Halftime Proj
85.6pts
44.7 – 40.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fener… | 23.2 | 21.5 | 20.2 | 21.3 |
| Virtu… | 21.3 | 19.6 | 21 | 22.3 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41.1 | 41.2 | 43.6 |
from last 5+5 games
Fenerbahce
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 84.7 — Allowed: 78.2 — Pace: 162.9
Virtus Bologna
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 92.3 — Allowed: 82.4 — Pace: 174.7
Fenerbahce Form
Fenerbahce
W5d
W12d
L14d
W17d
L20d
W91d
W93d
W95d
L97d
W103d
Q:31-1831-2323-1517-10
Q:19-2821-1520-1719-21
Q:17-2117-1623-2125-19
Q:16-1621-1922-1724-26
Q:24-1622-2118-1418-19
Virtus Bologna Form
Virtus Bologna
W2d
W7d
W9d
W15d
L104d
L106d
W109d
L111d
W115d
W117d
Q:27-1619-3123-2228-11
Q:20-2026-3410-3211-24
Q:18-1419-2024-1727-22
Q:13-2723-1827-1016-28
Q:24-2313-1920-2733-14
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:25-2222-1813-2520-20
Q:15-1715-1420-1616-17
Q:22-1324-2423-1726-27
Q:22-2316-1423-1921-30
Q:21-2531-2219-917-19
Head-to-head summary
9 meetings — Fenerbahce 6 / Virtus Bologna 3. Average total: 165.1.
Fenerbahce
1.14
Implied 83.3%
Edge -27.3%
Virtus Bologna
5.7
Implied 16.7%
Edge +27.3%
Bookmaker vig: 5.26%
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 86.2,
"team_2": 84.3,
"total": 170.5
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 84.7,
"avg_pa": 78.2,
"w_avg_pf": 84.5,
"w_avg_pa": 77.5,
"pace": 162.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 92.3,
"avg_pa": 82.4,
"w_avg_pf": 92.5,
"w_avg_pa": 81.5,
"pace": 174.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 9,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
"avg_total": 165.1
},
"confidence": 69,
"winner": {
"team": "Fenerbahce",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.8,
"opponent": "Virtus Bologna",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 170.5,
"team_1_proj": 86.2,
"team_2_proj": 84.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.7,
"team_2": 40.9,
"total": 85.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
23.2,
21.5,
20.2,
21.3
],
"away": [
21.3,
19.6,
21,
22.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.5,
41.1,
41.2,
43.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.7,
"away": 40.9,
"total": 85.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.269,
"q2": 0.25,
"q3": 0.235,
"q4": 0.247,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.253,
"q2": 0.233,
"q3": 0.249,
"q4": 0.264,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Virtus Bologna +ML",
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 69,
"reason": "Virtus Bologna has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "Euroleague",
"country": "Europe",
"match": "Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna",
"date": "2026-09-25",
"time": "20:45",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Fenerbahce",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Balkan",
"score": "102-66",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
31,
31,
23,
17
],
"away": [
18,
23,
15,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Olimpia Milano",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "79-81",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 160,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
21,
20,
19
],
"away": [
28,
15,
17,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Olympiacos",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "82-77",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
17,
17,
23,
25
],
"away": [
21,
16,
21,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Tofas",
"score": "83-78",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 78,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
21,
22,
24
],
"away": [
16,
19,
17,
26
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Korfez Basket",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "82-70",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
22,
18,
18
],
"away": [
16,
21,
14,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.06.26",
"home": "Besiktas",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "75-77",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.06.26",
"home": "Besiktas",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "71-82",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.06.26",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Besiktas",
"score": "93-68",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "13.06.26",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Besiktas",
"score": "80-88",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.06.26",
"home": "Anadolu Efes",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "93-102",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 195,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Virtus Bologna",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Maxima Roma",
"score": "97-80",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
19,
23,
28
],
"away": [
16,
31,
22,
11
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Pesaro",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "67-110",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 110,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
26,
10,
11
],
"away": [
20,
34,
32,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Tortona",
"score": "88-73",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 161,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
19,
24,
27
],
"away": [
14,
20,
17,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Rimini",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "79-83",
"home_points": 79,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
23,
27,
16
],
"away": [
27,
18,
10,
28
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.06.26",
"home": "Venezia",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "90-83",
"home_points": 90,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 173,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
13,
20,
33
],
"away": [
23,
19,
27,
14
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.06.26",
"home": "Venezia",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "89-85",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.06.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Venezia",
"score": "98-79",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Venezia",
"score": "83-91",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 91,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.05.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Trento",
"score": "106-95",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "Trento",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "81-90",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "21.01.26",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "80-85",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 165,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
22,
13,
20
],
"away": [
22,
18,
25,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.11.25",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "66-64",
"home_points": 66,
"away_points": 64,
"total_points": 130,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
15,
15,
20,
16
],
"away": [
17,
14,
16,
17
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.01.25",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "95-81",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
24,
23,
26
],
"away": [
13,
24,
17,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.11.24",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "82-86",
"home_points": 82,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 168,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
22,
16,
23,
21
],
"away": [
23,
14,
19,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.01.24",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "88-75",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 163,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
31,
19,
17
],
"away": [
25,
22,
9,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.11.23",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "87-79",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 79,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "03.03.23",
"home": "Fenerbahce",
"away": "Virtus Bologna",
"score": "104-72",
"home_points": 104,
"away_points": 72,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.12.22",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "92-88",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 88,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.09.19",
"home": "Virtus Bologna",
"away": "Fenerbahce",
"score": "94-68",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 162,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.14,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 83.3,
"edge_vs_model": -27.3
},
"away": {
"value": 5.7,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 16.7,
"edge_vs_model": 27.3
},
"vig_pct": 5.26
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 86.2,
"team_2": 84.3,
"total": 170.5
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 84.7,
"avg_pa": 78.2,
"w_avg_pf": 84.5,
"w_avg_pa": 77.5,
"pace": 162.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_pf": 92.3,
"avg_pa": 82.4,
"w_avg_pf": 92.5,
"w_avg_pa": 81.5,
"pace": 174.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 9,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666,
"avg_total": 165.1
},
"confidence": 69,
"winner": {
"team": "Fenerbahce",
"probability": 56,
"margin_pts": 1.8,
"opponent": "Virtus Bologna",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 170.5,
"team_1_proj": 86.2,
"team_2_proj": 84.3,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 44.7,
"team_2": 40.9,
"total": 85.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
23.2,
21.5,
20.2,
21.3
],
"away": [
21.3,
19.6,
21,
22.3
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.5,
41.1,
41.2,
43.6
],
"halftime": {
"home": 44.7,
"away": 40.9,
"total": 85.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.269,
"q2": 0.25,
"q3": 0.235,
"q4": 0.247,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.253,
"q2": 0.233,
"q3": 0.249,
"q4": 0.264,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Virtus Bologna +ML",
"team": "Virtus Bologna",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 69,
"reason": "Virtus Bologna has live shot (44%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
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