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Basketball · NBA - Pre-season · USA

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Sunday, 11 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Miami Heat124-125Minnesota Timberwolves

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Miami Heat favourites at 69%, projecting 107-101 (about 208 points in total). Minnesota Timberwolves lead the recent meetings 8-2, which keeps it close. Minnesota Timberwolves won 125-124, against the model's 69% for Miami Heat.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 7 Jan 2026, when Minnesota Timberwolves won 122-94.
Usa • NBA - Pre-season
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves
11 Oct • 03:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Miami Heat124-125Minnesota Timberwolves
Predicted Winner
Miami Heat
69%to win
by ~5.6 pts vs Minnesota Tim…
Projected Total
207.9pts
106.7 – 101.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
104.6pts
55.5 – 49.1
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Miami…28.826.72526.3
Minne…22.326.827.724.4
Total51.153.552.750.7
from last 5+5 games
Miami Heat
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 100 — Allowed: 95.2 — Pace: 195.2
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 104.9 — Allowed: 111.6 — Pace: 216.5
Miami Heat Form
Miami Heat
W34d
W112d
L113d
L116d
L119d
W120d
W123d
L125d
W126d
L206d
5W · 5L
04 Oct2026
Toronto Rapto… vs Miami Heat
105-129W↗
Q:23-4132-3525-1925-34
18 Jul2026
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pisto…
101-87W↗
Q:22-2419-2825-2035-15
17 Jul2026
Miami Heat vs Toronto Rapto…
90-99L↗
Q:23-1924-3823-1720-25
14 Jul2026
Cleveland Cav… vs Miami Heat
90-73L↗
Q:21-2026-1618-2325-14
11 Jul2026
Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat
93-88L↗
Q:26-2520-2733-1814-18
10 Jul2026
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Buc…
119-86W↗
07 Jul2026
Golden State … vs Miami Heat
85-95W↗
05 Jul2026
Los Angeles L… vs Miami Heat
93-91L↗
04 Jul2026
Miami Heat vs San Antonio S…
88-87W↗
15 Apr2026
Charlotte Hor… vs Miami Heat
127-126L↗
Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Minnesota Timberw…
W32d
L112d
W115d
L116d
L118d
W121d
L175d
L178d
W180d
L182d
4W · 6L
06 Oct2026
Milwaukee Buc… vs Minnesota Tim…
97-116W↗
Q:20-3128-2928-2121-35
18 Jul2026
Los Angeles C… vs Minnesota Tim…
128-120L↗
Q:20-1938-2334-3323-40OT 13-5
15 Jul2026
Minnesota Tim… vs Indiana Pacers
114-98W↗
Q:35-2427-2727-2225-25
14 Jul2026
Portland Trai… vs Minnesota Tim…
111-84L↗
Q:24-1734-2730-2223-18
12 Jul2026
Minnesota Tim… vs Denver Nuggets
82-101L↗
Q:13-2626-2633-2110-28
09 Jul2026
New Orleans P… vs Minnesota Tim…
92-105W↗
16 May2026
Minnesota Tim… vs San Antonio S…
109-139L↗
13 May2026
San Antonio S… vs Minnesota Tim…
126-97L↗
11 May2026
Minnesota Tim… vs San Antonio S…
114-109W↗
09 May2026
Minnesota Tim… vs San Antonio S…
108-115L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
07 Jan2026
Minnesota Tim… vs Miami Heat
122-94↗
Q:27-2934-2532-2329-17
04 Jan2026
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
115-125↗
Q:25-2725-2936-3429-35
08 Mar2025
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
104-106↗
Q:25-3327-1928-2824-26
11 Nov2024
Minnesota Tim… vs Miami Heat
94-95↗
Q:20-2731-2520-1623-27
19 Dec2023
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
108-112↗
Q:33-2233-3217-2325-35
29 Oct2023
Minnesota Tim… vs Miami Heat
106-90↗
27 Dec2022
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
113-110↗
22 Nov2022
Minnesota Tim… vs Miami Heat
105-101↗
05 Oct2022
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
111-121↗
13 Mar2022
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Tim…
104-113↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Miami Heat 2 / Minnesota Timberwolves 8. Average total: 214.9.

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