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Basketball · Olympic Games Women - Qualification - Preliminary - Play Offs · World

Mexico W vs Canada W

Monday, 24 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mexico W53-83Canada W

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Canada W favourites at 58%, projecting 68-65 (about 133 points in total). That rests on 5 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. Canada W won 83-53, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Canada W have won 4 matches in a row.
World • Olympic Games Women - Qualification - Preliminary - Play Offs
Mexico W vs Canada W
24 Aug • 02:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mexico W53-83Canada W
Predicted Winner
Canada W
58%to win
by ~2.4 pts vs Mexico W
Projected Total
133pts
65.3 – 67.7
no market line
Halftime Proj
69.8pts
31 – 38.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Mexic…18.812.216.817.4
Canad…18.220.613.914.8
Total3732.830.732.2
from last 5+5 games
Mexico W
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 67.8 — Allowed: 56.9 — Pace: 124.7
Canada W
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 72.9 — Allowed: 61.8 — Pace: 134.7
Mexico W Form
Mexico W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
7W · 3L
—
Mexico W vs Brazil W
83-64W↗
Q:16-2321-1026-1620-15
—
Canada W vs Mexico W
70-64L↗
Q:23-1818-1816-1713-11
—
Senegal W vs Mexico W
65-79W↗
Q:11-2717-1313-2224-17
—
Mexico W vs Philippines W
61-58W↗
Q:16-229-1515-1021-11
—
Mexico W vs Puerto Rico W
44-57L↗
Q:16-224-148-816-13
—
Mexico W vs Panama W
59-56W↗
—
Mexico W vs Trinidad & To…
85-25W↗
—
Mexico W vs Dominican Rep…
73-46W↗
—
El Salvador W vs Mexico W
46-62W↗
—
Mexico W vs Puerto Rico W
68-82L↗
Canada W Form
Canada W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
6W · 4L
—
Canada W vs New Zealand W
86-71W↗
Q:21-1836-1310-1719-23
—
Canada W vs Mexico W
70-64W↗
Q:23-1818-1816-1713-11
—
Philippines W vs Canada W
38-85W↗
Q:4-237-2318-169-23
—
Canada W vs Senegal W
72-57W↗
Q:22-1419-1917-1514-9
—
Australia W vs Canada W
82-76L↗
Q:20-1520-2426-2016-17
—
Canada W vs Japan W
62-66L↗
—
Argentina W vs Canada W
41-75W↗
—
Hungary W vs Canada W
53-75W↗
—
Canada W vs Turkey W
69-71L↗
—
Argentina W vs Canada W
75-59L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Canada W vs Mexico W
70-64↗
Q:23-1818-1816-1713-11
—
Canada W vs Mexico W
83-57↗
Q:23-711-1427-1422-22
—
Mexico W vs Canada W
53-109↗
Q:13-317-2021-2712-31
—
Mexico W vs Canada W
39-65↗
Q:8-1512-138-2111-16
—
Mexico W vs Canada W
45-72↗
Q:4-195-1616-1220-25
Head-to-head summary
5 meetings — Mexico W 0 / Canada W 5. Average total: 131.4.

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