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Basketball · World Cup - Qualification - Second round · World

Mexico vs Brazil

Tuesday, 01 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mexico79-74Brazil

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Brazil favourites at 76%, projecting 87-79 (about 166 points in total). That rests on a 9-1 record over the last 10 games against 5-5 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Mexico won 79-74, against the model's 76% for Brazil.

Key facts before the match

  • Brazil have won 9 matches in a row.
  • Mexico have lost 3 matches in a row.
World • World Cup - Qualification - Second round
Mexico vs Brazil
01 Sept • 05:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Mexico79-74Brazil
Predicted Winner
Brazil
76%to win
by ~8.2 pts vs Mexico
Projected Total
165.8pts
78.8 – 87
no market line
Halftime Proj
85.8pts
36.9 – 48.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Mexico20.316.620.521.4
Brazil25.123.816.621.4
Total45.440.437.142.8
from last 5+5 games
Mexico
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 81.3 — Allowed: 83.6 — Pace: 164.9
Brazil
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
PPG: 88.1 — Allowed: 74.8 — Pace: 162.9
Mexico Form
Mexico
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
5W · 5L
—
Belize vs Mexico
80-70L↗
Q:17-1419-1918-1926-18
—
Dominican Rep… vs Mexico
78-65L↗
Q:16-1319-1024-1819-24
—
Mexico vs Puerto Rico
50-95L↗
Q:13-2110-2815-2212-24
—
Mexico vs Jamaica
95-63W↗
Q:32-1418-2024-1221-17
—
Panama vs Mexico
64-66W↗
Q:10-1921-1618-1315-18
—
Mexico vs USA
93-94L↗
—
Mexico vs Nicaragua
98-79W↗
—
USA vs Mexico
123-88L↗
—
Nicaragua vs Mexico
72-99W↗
—
Dominican Rep… vs Mexico
88-89W↗
Brazil Form
Brazil
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
9W · 1L
—
Colombia vs Brazil
80-104W↗
Q:21-3318-3521-1520-21
—
Venezuela vs Brazil
88-103W↗
Q:24-2915-1723-2326-34
—
Brazil vs Colombia
101-72W↗
Q:23-1332-2421-825-27
—
Brazil vs Venezuela
94-84W↗
Q:28-1725-2119-1922-27
—
Brazil vs Chile
78-62W↗
Q:25-1622-914-2617-11
—
Chile vs Brazil
66-82W↗
—
Argentina vs Brazil
47-55W↗
—
Brazil vs USA
92-77W↗
—
Dominican Rep… vs Brazil
82-94W↗
—
USA vs Brazil
90-78L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Mexico vs Brazil
61-73↗
Q:10-2113-1817-1721-17
—
Mexico vs Brazil
54-74↗
Q:10-1913-2313-1818-14
—
Mexico vs Brazil
56-102↗
Q:10-2916-2112-1618-36
—
Brazil vs Mexico
72-82↗
Q:13-1717-2117-2525-19
—
Brazil vs Mexico
102-74↗
Q:24-1829-2427-1522-17
—
Mexico vs Brazil
99-76↗
—
Mexico vs Brazil
65-58↗
—
Brazil vs Mexico
72-59↗
—
Brazil vs Mexico
68-56↗
—
Mexico vs Brazil
61-92↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Mexico 3 / Brazil 7. Average total: 145.6.

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