Basketball · NBL · Australia
Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers in NBL (Basketball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Australia • NBL
Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers
22 Sept • 12:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
New Zealand Breakers
81%to win
by ~10.4 pts vs Brisbane Bull…
Projected Total
192.6pts
91.1 – 101.5
no market line
Halftime Proj
100.3pts
48.5 – 51.8
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisb… | 24.6 | 23.9 | 20.9 | 21.9 |
| New Z… | 25.5 | 26.3 | 23.4 | 26.4 |
| Total | 50.1 | 50.2 | 44.3 | 48.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Brisbane Bullets
Last 10: 0–10 (0%)
PPG: 79.2 — Allowed: 106.1 — Pace: 185.3
New Zealand Breakers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 96.3 — Allowed: 95.9 — Pace: 192.2
Brisbane Bullets Form
Brisbane Bullets
L7d
L14d
L211d
L218d
L223d
L225d
L234d
L236d
L241d
L247d
Q:28-3121-3623-2926-33
Q:37-2130-3317-2629-25
Q:33-2617-3210-3217-27
Q:29-1922-1825-1818-20
Q:13-2423-1921-1815-20
New Zealand Breakers Form
New Zealand Break…
W11d
W13d
L15d
W209d
W212d
L217d
W224d
L226d
L230d
W232d
Q:32-2527-2726-2415-27
Q:19-2230-2616-2321-25
Q:24-3020-2110-2020-24
Q:25-2829-1928-3425-30
Q:24-2437-2027-2227-18
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:26-2030-2123-2220-22
Q:18-2718-4121-2427-21
Q:25-1132-2815-2911-16
Q:20-2124-2522-2829-30
Q:19-2121-2523-2024-27
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Brisbane Bullets 6 / New Zealand Breakers 4. Average total: 176.1.
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 91.1,
"team_2": 101.5,
"total": 192.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 19,
"team_2": 81
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 10,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 106.1,
"w_avg_pf": 80.7,
"w_avg_pa": 107.3,
"pace": 185.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 95.9,
"w_avg_pf": 96.6,
"w_avg_pa": 95.7,
"pace": 192.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 176.1
},
"confidence": 88,
"winner": {
"team": "New Zealand Breakers",
"probability": 81,
"margin_pts": 10.4,
"opponent": "Brisbane Bullets",
"opponent_probability": 19
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192.6,
"team_1_proj": 91.1,
"team_2_proj": 101.5,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.5,
"team_2": 51.8,
"total": 100.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.6,
23.9,
20.9,
21.9
],
"away": [
25.5,
26.3,
23.4,
26.4
],
"per_quarter_total": [
50.1,
50.2,
44.3,
48.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.5,
"away": 51.8,
"total": 100.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.27,
"q2": 0.262,
"q3": 0.229,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.251,
"q2": 0.259,
"q3": 0.23,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "New Zealand Breakers to win",
"team": "New Zealand Breakers",
"win_prob": 81,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 60% vs 0% (last 10/10); H2H 40% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 193)",
"projected": 192.6,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Combined pace 188.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "Australia",
"match": "Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "12:30",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Brisbane Bullets",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "98-129",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 129,
"total_points": 227,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
21,
23,
26
],
"away": [
31,
36,
29,
33
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "113-105",
"home_points": 113,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
37,
30,
17,
29
],
"away": [
21,
33,
26,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "77-117",
"home_points": 77,
"away_points": 117,
"total_points": 194,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
33,
17,
10,
17
],
"away": [
26,
32,
32,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.02.26",
"home": "Perth",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "94-75",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
29,
22,
25,
18
],
"away": [
19,
18,
18,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "72-81",
"home_points": 72,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
23,
21,
15
],
"away": [
24,
19,
18,
20
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "114-70",
"home_points": 114,
"away_points": 70,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "28.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Adelaide",
"score": "74-107",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 107,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "26.01.26",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "75-113",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 188,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.01.26",
"home": "Melbourne United",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "98-66",
"home_points": 98,
"away_points": 66,
"total_points": 164,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "15.01.26",
"home": "Sydney",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "95-80",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 80,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "New Zealand Breakers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "South East Melbourne",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "100-103",
"home_points": 100,
"away_points": 103,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
32,
27,
26,
15
],
"away": [
25,
27,
24,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "86-96",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 96,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
30,
16,
21
],
"away": [
22,
26,
23,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Sydney",
"score": "74-95",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 169,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
20,
10,
20
],
"away": [
30,
21,
20,
24
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.02.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "107-111",
"home_points": 107,
"away_points": 111,
"total_points": 218,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
29,
28,
25
],
"away": [
28,
19,
34,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Cairns Taipans",
"score": "115-84",
"home_points": 115,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
37,
27,
27
],
"away": [
24,
20,
22,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.02.26",
"home": "Adelaide",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "92-89",
"home_points": 92,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 181,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "07.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Illawarra Hawks",
"score": "106-95",
"home_points": 106,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "05.02.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "South East Melbourne",
"score": "83-114",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 114,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "01.02.26",
"home": "Tasmania JackJumpers",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "91-89",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "30.01.26",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Melbourne United",
"score": "97-95",
"home_points": 97,
"away_points": 95,
"total_points": 192,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "22.12.25",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "99-85",
"home_points": 99,
"away_points": 85,
"total_points": 184,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
30,
23,
20
],
"away": [
20,
21,
22,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.11.25",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "84-113",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 113,
"total_points": 197,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
18,
21,
27
],
"away": [
27,
41,
24,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.10.25",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "83-84",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 167,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
32,
15,
11
],
"away": [
11,
28,
29,
16
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.09.25",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "95-104",
"home_points": 95,
"away_points": 104,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
24,
22,
29
],
"away": [
21,
25,
28,
30
]
}
},
{
"date": "24.01.25",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "87-93",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 93,
"total_points": 180,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
19,
21,
23,
24
],
"away": [
21,
25,
20,
27
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.01.25",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "83-74",
"home_points": 83,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.10.24",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "84-73",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 73,
"total_points": 157,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.09.24",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "91-87",
"home_points": 91,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 178,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.02.24",
"home": "New Zealand Breakers",
"away": "Brisbane Bullets",
"score": "103-87",
"home_points": 103,
"away_points": 87,
"total_points": 190,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "27.12.23",
"home": "Brisbane Bullets",
"away": "New Zealand Breakers",
"score": "71-81",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 81,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 91.1,
"team_2": 101.5,
"total": 192.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 19,
"team_2": 81
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 0,
"losses": 10,
"win_rate": 0,
"avg_pf": 79.2,
"avg_pa": 106.1,
"w_avg_pf": 80.7,
"w_avg_pa": 107.3,
"pace": 185.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.8
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_pf": 96.3,
"avg_pa": 95.9,
"w_avg_pf": 96.6,
"w_avg_pa": 95.7,
"pace": 192.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 176.1
},
"confidence": 88,
"winner": {
"team": "New Zealand Breakers",
"probability": 81,
"margin_pts": 10.4,
"opponent": "Brisbane Bullets",
"opponent_probability": 19
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 192.6,
"team_1_proj": 91.1,
"team_2_proj": 101.5,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 48.5,
"team_2": 51.8,
"total": 100.3,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
24.6,
23.9,
20.9,
21.9
],
"away": [
25.5,
26.3,
23.4,
26.4
],
"per_quarter_total": [
50.1,
50.2,
44.3,
48.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 48.5,
"away": 51.8,
"total": 100.3
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.27,
"q2": 0.262,
"q3": 0.229,
"q4": 0.24,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.251,
"q2": 0.259,
"q3": 0.23,
"q4": 0.26,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "New Zealand Breakers to win",
"team": "New Zealand Breakers",
"win_prob": 81,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Projected margin ~10 pts; form 60% vs 0% (last 10/10); H2H 40% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total points (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 193)",
"projected": 192.6,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Combined pace 188.8 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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