Basketball · NBL1 Women - Qualification - Play Offs · Australia

Knox W vs Sturt Sabres W

Friday, 21 August 2026

Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Archived fixture

A final score is not available in this archive.

Knox W vs Sturt Sabres W in NBL1 Women - Qualification - Play Offs (Basketball) was scheduled for Friday, 21 August 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. See recent form.

AustraliaNBL1 Women - Qualification - Play Offs
Knox W vs Sturt Sabres W
21 Aug12:00
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Knox W
74%to win
by ~7.3 pts vs Sturt Sabres W
Projected Total
148.1pts
77.770.4
no market line
Halftime Proj
76.2pts
41.334.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Knox W21.32018.517.9
Sturt…18.616.316.618.9
Total39.936.335.136.8
from last 5+5 games
Knox W
Last 10: 100 (100%)
PPG: 84.1 — Allowed: 61.3 — Pace: 145.4
Sturt Sabres W
Last 10: 73 (70%)
PPG: 80.5 — Allowed: 66.2 — Pace: 146.7
Knox W Form
Knox W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
10W · 0L
Knox W vs Waverley W
80-54W
Q:19-1226-1519-1616-11
Knox W vs Sandringham W
80-78W
Q:20-1912-2721-1427-18
Knox W vs Melbourne Tig…
95-51W
Q:28-1526-1121-1220-13
Knox W vs Hobart Charge…
78-59W
Q:24-1522-1726-116-16
Knox W vs Kilsyth W
89-68W
Q:25-1623-1612-2129-15
Knox W vs Eltham W
90-61W
Mt. Gambier W vs Knox W
64-95W
Frankston W vs Knox W
54-75W
Knox W vs Waverley W
81-68W
Nunawading W vs Knox W
56-78W
Sturt Sabres W Form
Sturt Sabres W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
7W · 3L
West Adelaide… vs Sturt Sabres W
70-76W
Q:10-2420-1424-1716-21
Sturt Sabres W vs Norwood Flame…
72-51W
Q:20-1318-89-1925-11
West Adelaide… vs Sturt Sabres W
83-64L
Q:16-1525-1616-1626-17
Sturt Sabres W vs Norwood Flame…
75-66W
Q:18-1021-1317-1719-26
Sturt Sabres W vs West Adelaide…
56-77L
Q:14-1411-920-1811-36
North Adelaid… vs Sturt Sabres W
62-103W
Sturt Sabres W vs Eastern Maver…
111-51W
Southern Tige… vs Sturt Sabres W
48-95W
Sturt Sabres W vs Woodville War…
79-69W
Norwood Flame… vs Sturt Sabres W
85-74L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 77.7,
    "team_2": 70.4,
    "total": 148.1
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 74,
    "team_2": 26
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 10,
      "losses": 0,
      "win_rate": 1,
      "avg_pf": 84.1,
      "avg_pa": 61.3,
      "w_avg_pf": 84.3,
      "w_avg_pa": 61.4,
      "pace": 145.4,
      "blowout_rate": 0.8
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 7,
      "losses": 3,
      "win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_pf": 80.5,
      "avg_pa": 66.2,
      "w_avg_pf": 79.4,
      "w_avg_pa": 66.1,
      "pace": 146.7,
      "blowout_rate": 0.6
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": null,
  "confidence": 68,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Knox W",
    "probability": 74,
    "margin_pts": 7.3,
    "opponent": "Sturt Sabres W",
    "opponent_probability": 26
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 148.1,
    "team_1_proj": 77.7,
    "team_2_proj": 70.4,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 41.3,
    "team_2": 34.9,
    "total": 76.2,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      21.3,
      20,
      18.5,
      17.9
    ],
    "away": [
      18.6,
      16.3,
      16.6,
      18.9
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      39.9,
      36.3,
      35.1,
      36.8
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 41.3,
      "away": 34.9,
      "total": 76.2
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.274,
      "q2": 0.258,
      "q3": 0.238,
      "q4": 0.23,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.264,
      "q2": 0.232,
      "q3": 0.236,
      "q4": 0.268,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total points (Under)",
      "pick": "Under (projected 148)",
      "projected": 148.1,
      "confidence": 68,
      "reason": "Combined pace 146.1 < league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "NBL1 Women - Qualification - Play Offs",
  "country": "Australia",
  "match": "Knox W vs Sturt Sabres W",
  "date": "2026-08-21",
  "time": "12:00",
  "status": null,
  "score": "{'home': 42, 'away': 29}",
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Knox W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Waverley W",
        "score": "80-54",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 54,
        "total_points": 134,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            19,
            26,
            19,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            12,
            15,
            16,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Sandringham W",
        "score": "80-78",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 158,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            20,
            12,
            21,
            27
          ],
          "away": [
            19,
            27,
            14,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Melbourne Tigers W",
        "score": "95-51",
        "home_points": 95,
        "away_points": 51,
        "total_points": 146,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            28,
            26,
            21,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            11,
            12,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Hobart Chargers W",
        "score": "78-59",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 59,
        "total_points": 137,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            22,
            26,
            6
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            17,
            11,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Kilsyth W",
        "score": "89-68",
        "home_points": 89,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 157,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            23,
            12,
            29
          ],
          "away": [
            16,
            16,
            21,
            15
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Eltham W",
        "score": "90-61",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 61,
        "total_points": 151,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Mt. Gambier W",
        "away": "Knox W",
        "score": "64-95",
        "home_points": 64,
        "away_points": 95,
        "total_points": 159,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Frankston W",
        "away": "Knox W",
        "score": "54-75",
        "home_points": 54,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 129,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Knox W",
        "away": "Waverley W",
        "score": "81-68",
        "home_points": 81,
        "away_points": 68,
        "total_points": 149,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nunawading W",
        "away": "Knox W",
        "score": "56-78",
        "home_points": 56,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 134,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Sturt Sabres W",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "West Adelaide Bearcats W",
        "away": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "score": "70-76",
        "home_points": 70,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 146,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            10,
            20,
            24,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            24,
            14,
            17,
            21
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "away": "Norwood Flames W",
        "score": "72-51",
        "home_points": 72,
        "away_points": 51,
        "total_points": 123,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            20,
            18,
            9,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            13,
            8,
            19,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "West Adelaide Bearcats W",
        "away": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "score": "83-64",
        "home_points": 83,
        "away_points": 64,
        "total_points": 147,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            16,
            25,
            16,
            26
          ],
          "away": [
            15,
            16,
            16,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "away": "Norwood Flames W",
        "score": "75-66",
        "home_points": 75,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 141,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            18,
            21,
            17,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            10,
            13,
            17,
            26
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "away": "West Adelaide Bearcats W",
        "score": "56-77",
        "home_points": 56,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 133,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            14,
            11,
            20,
            11
          ],
          "away": [
            14,
            9,
            18,
            36
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "North Adelaide Rockets W",
        "away": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "score": "62-103",
        "home_points": 62,
        "away_points": 103,
        "total_points": 165,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "away": "Eastern Mavericks W",
        "score": "111-51",
        "home_points": 111,
        "away_points": 51,
        "total_points": 162,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Southern Tigers W",
        "away": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "score": "48-95",
        "home_points": 48,
        "away_points": 95,
        "total_points": 143,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "away": "Woodville Warriors W",
        "score": "79-69",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 69,
        "total_points": 148,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Norwood Flames W",
        "away": "Sturt Sabres W",
        "score": "85-74",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 74,
        "total_points": 159,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": []
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 77.7,
      "team_2": 70.4,
      "total": 148.1
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 74,
      "team_2": 26
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 10,
        "losses": 0,
        "win_rate": 1,
        "avg_pf": 84.1,
        "avg_pa": 61.3,
        "w_avg_pf": 84.3,
        "w_avg_pa": 61.4,
        "pace": 145.4,
        "blowout_rate": 0.8
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 7,
        "losses": 3,
        "win_rate": 0.7,
        "avg_pf": 80.5,
        "avg_pa": 66.2,
        "w_avg_pf": 79.4,
        "w_avg_pa": 66.1,
        "pace": 146.7,
        "blowout_rate": 0.6
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": null,
    "confidence": 68,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Knox W",
      "probability": 74,
      "margin_pts": 7.3,
      "opponent": "Sturt Sabres W",
      "opponent_probability": 26
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 148.1,
      "team_1_proj": 77.7,
      "team_2_proj": 70.4,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 41.3,
      "team_2": 34.9,
      "total": 76.2,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        21.3,
        20,
        18.5,
        17.9
      ],
      "away": [
        18.6,
        16.3,
        16.6,
        18.9
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        39.9,
        36.3,
        35.1,
        36.8
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 41.3,
        "away": 34.9,
        "total": 76.2
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.274,
        "q2": 0.258,
        "q3": 0.238,
        "q4": 0.23,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.264,
        "q2": 0.232,
        "q3": 0.236,
        "q4": 0.268,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total points (Under)",
        "pick": "Under (projected 148)",
        "projected": 148.1,
        "confidence": 68,
        "reason": "Combined pace 146.1 < league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  },
  "_page_published_at": "2026-08-20T00:34:13.213284+03:00",
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-08-20T00:34:13.213284+03:00"
}

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