Basketball · South American League - First stage · South America

Independiente de Oliva vs Mogi

Monday, 05 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Independiente de Oliva vs Mogi in South American League - First stage (Basketball) on Monday, 05 October 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

South America • South American League - First stage
Independiente de Oliva vs Mogi
05 Oct • 03:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Independiente de Oliva
63%to win
by ~3.7 pts vs Mogi
Projected Total
162.1pts
82.9 – 79.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
87pts
46 – 41
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Indep…23231521.8
Mogi221920.517.7
Total454235.539.5
from last 5+5 games
Independiente de Oliva
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 79 — Allowed: 78.5 — Pace: 157.5
Mogi
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 80.6 — Allowed: 81.7 — Pace: 162.3
Independiente de Oliva Form
Independiente de …
W0d
L137d
W140d
W142d
L145d
L147d
W153d
W155d
L159d
W161d
6W · 4L
03 Oct
Independiente… vs Alvarado
85-60W↗
Q:24-626-1410-2425-16
19 May
Gimnasia vs Independiente…
81-71L↗
Q:23-1821-2218-1819-13
16 May
Independiente… vs Gimnasia
74-66W↗
Q:19-1919-2213-1523-10
14 May
Independiente… vs Gimnasia
78-76W↗
Q:25-2122-1616-2115-18
11 May
Gimnasia vs Independiente…
77-72L↗
Q:15-2016-1730-1116-24
09 May
Gimnasia vs Independiente…
78-66L↗
03 May
Independiente… vs La Union
97-92W↗
01 May
Independiente… vs La Union
83-78W↗
27 Apr
La Union vs Independiente…
86-62L↗
25 Apr
La Union vs Independiente…
91-102W↗
Mogi Form
Mogi
W0d
L140d
W142d
L146d
L147d
W150d
W158d
W161d
W163d
L168d
6W · 4L
03 Oct
Olimpia Kings vs Mogi
80-89W↗
Q:17-2816-1629-2518-20
16 May
Franca vs Mogi
78-77L↗
Q:20-2520-1117-2321-18
14 May
Franca vs Mogi
90-102W↗
Q:26-2821-3123-2620-17
10 May
Mogi vs Franca
70-88L↗
Q:16-3424-2414-1616-14
09 May
Mogi vs Franca
65-97L↗
Q:16-2115-2617-2217-28
06 May
Franca vs Mogi
93-95W↗
28 Apr
Mogi vs Sao Jose
81-70W↗
25 Apr
Mogi vs Sao Jose
79-75W↗
23 Apr
Sao Jose vs Mogi
70-75W↗
18 Apr
Mogi vs Osasco
73-76L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Model output
{
  "expected_points": {
    "team_1": 82.9,
    "team_2": 79.2,
    "total": 162.1
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 63,
    "team_2": 37
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_pf": 79,
      "avg_pa": 78.5,
      "w_avg_pf": 78.4,
      "w_avg_pa": 77.1,
      "pace": 157.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_pf": 80.6,
      "avg_pa": 81.7,
      "w_avg_pf": 81.3,
      "w_avg_pa": 82.4,
      "pace": 162.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": null,
  "confidence": 60,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Independiente de Oliva",
    "probability": 63,
    "margin_pts": 3.7,
    "opponent": "Mogi",
    "opponent_probability": 37
  },
  "total_points": {
    "projected_total": 162.1,
    "team_1_proj": 82.9,
    "team_2_proj": 79.2,
    "market": null
  },
  "halftime": {
    "team_1": 46,
    "team_2": 41,
    "total": 87,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "quarter_scores": null,
  "quarter_prediction": {
    "home": [
      23,
      23,
      15,
      21.8
    ],
    "away": [
      22,
      19,
      20.5,
      17.7
    ],
    "per_quarter_total": [
      45,
      42,
      35.5,
      39.5
    ],
    "halftime": {
      "home": 46,
      "away": 41,
      "total": 87
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.278,
      "q2": 0.278,
      "q3": 0.181,
      "q4": 0.263,
      "samples": 5
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "q1": 0.278,
      "q2": 0.24,
      "q3": 0.259,
      "q4": 0.223,
      "samples": 5
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Mogi +ML",
      "team": "Mogi",
      "win_prob": 37,
      "confidence": 60,
      "reason": "Mogi has live shot (37%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "basketball",
  "league": "South American League - First stage",
  "country": "South America",
  "match": "Independiente de Oliva vs Mogi",
  "date": "2026-10-05",
  "time": "03:40",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "quarters": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Independiente de Oliva",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "03.10.26",
        "home": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "away": "Alvarado",
        "score": "85-60",
        "home_points": 85,
        "away_points": 60,
        "total_points": 145,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            24,
            26,
            10,
            25
          ],
          "away": [
            6,
            14,
            24,
            16
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "19.05.26",
        "home": "Gimnasia",
        "away": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "score": "81-71",
        "home_points": 81,
        "away_points": 71,
        "total_points": 152,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            23,
            21,
            18,
            19
          ],
          "away": [
            18,
            22,
            18,
            13
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "16.05.26",
        "home": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "away": "Gimnasia",
        "score": "74-66",
        "home_points": 74,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 140,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            19,
            19,
            13,
            23
          ],
          "away": [
            19,
            22,
            15,
            10
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.05.26",
        "home": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "away": "Gimnasia",
        "score": "78-76",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 154,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            25,
            22,
            16,
            15
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            16,
            21,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.05.26",
        "home": "Gimnasia",
        "away": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "score": "77-72",
        "home_points": 77,
        "away_points": 72,
        "total_points": 149,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            15,
            16,
            30,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            20,
            17,
            11,
            24
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.05.26",
        "home": "Gimnasia",
        "away": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "score": "78-66",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 66,
        "total_points": 144,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.05.26",
        "home": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "away": "La Union",
        "score": "97-92",
        "home_points": 97,
        "away_points": 92,
        "total_points": 189,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "01.05.26",
        "home": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "away": "La Union",
        "score": "83-78",
        "home_points": 83,
        "away_points": 78,
        "total_points": 161,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "27.04.26",
        "home": "La Union",
        "away": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "score": "86-62",
        "home_points": 86,
        "away_points": 62,
        "total_points": 148,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.04.26",
        "home": "La Union",
        "away": "Independiente de Oliva",
        "score": "91-102",
        "home_points": 91,
        "away_points": 102,
        "total_points": 193,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Mogi",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "03.10.26",
        "home": "Olimpia Kings",
        "away": "Mogi",
        "score": "80-89",
        "home_points": 80,
        "away_points": 89,
        "total_points": 169,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            17,
            16,
            29,
            18
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            16,
            25,
            20
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "16.05.26",
        "home": "Franca",
        "away": "Mogi",
        "score": "78-77",
        "home_points": 78,
        "away_points": 77,
        "total_points": 155,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            20,
            20,
            17,
            21
          ],
          "away": [
            25,
            11,
            23,
            18
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.05.26",
        "home": "Franca",
        "away": "Mogi",
        "score": "90-102",
        "home_points": 90,
        "away_points": 102,
        "total_points": 192,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            26,
            21,
            23,
            20
          ],
          "away": [
            28,
            31,
            26,
            17
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.05.26",
        "home": "Mogi",
        "away": "Franca",
        "score": "70-88",
        "home_points": 70,
        "away_points": 88,
        "total_points": 158,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            16,
            24,
            14,
            16
          ],
          "away": [
            34,
            24,
            16,
            14
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.05.26",
        "home": "Mogi",
        "away": "Franca",
        "score": "65-97",
        "home_points": 65,
        "away_points": 97,
        "total_points": 162,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": {
          "home": [
            16,
            15,
            17,
            17
          ],
          "away": [
            21,
            26,
            22,
            28
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.05.26",
        "home": "Franca",
        "away": "Mogi",
        "score": "93-95",
        "home_points": 93,
        "away_points": 95,
        "total_points": 188,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.04.26",
        "home": "Mogi",
        "away": "Sao Jose",
        "score": "81-70",
        "home_points": 81,
        "away_points": 70,
        "total_points": 151,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.04.26",
        "home": "Mogi",
        "away": "Sao Jose",
        "score": "79-75",
        "home_points": 79,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 154,
        "home_won": true,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "23.04.26",
        "home": "Sao Jose",
        "away": "Mogi",
        "score": "70-75",
        "home_points": 70,
        "away_points": 75,
        "total_points": 145,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      },
      {
        "date": "18.04.26",
        "home": "Mogi",
        "away": "Osasco",
        "score": "73-76",
        "home_points": 73,
        "away_points": 76,
        "total_points": 149,
        "home_won": false,
        "quarters": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": []
  },
  "odds": null,
  "analysis": {
    "expected_points": {
      "team_1": 82.9,
      "team_2": 79.2,
      "total": 162.1
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 63,
      "team_2": 37
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_pf": 79,
        "avg_pa": 78.5,
        "w_avg_pf": 78.4,
        "w_avg_pa": 77.1,
        "pace": 157.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_pf": 80.6,
        "avg_pa": 81.7,
        "w_avg_pf": 81.3,
        "w_avg_pa": 82.4,
        "pace": 162.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": null,
    "confidence": 60,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Independiente de Oliva",
      "probability": 63,
      "margin_pts": 3.7,
      "opponent": "Mogi",
      "opponent_probability": 37
    },
    "total_points": {
      "projected_total": 162.1,
      "team_1_proj": 82.9,
      "team_2_proj": 79.2,
      "market": null
    },
    "halftime": {
      "team_1": 46,
      "team_2": 41,
      "total": 87,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "quarter_scores": null,
    "quarter_prediction": {
      "home": [
        23,
        23,
        15,
        21.8
      ],
      "away": [
        22,
        19,
        20.5,
        17.7
      ],
      "per_quarter_total": [
        45,
        42,
        35.5,
        39.5
      ],
      "halftime": {
        "home": 46,
        "away": 41,
        "total": 87
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.278,
        "q2": 0.278,
        "q3": 0.181,
        "q4": 0.263,
        "samples": 5
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "q1": 0.278,
        "q2": 0.24,
        "q3": 0.259,
        "q4": 0.223,
        "samples": 5
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Mogi +ML",
        "team": "Mogi",
        "win_prob": 37,
        "confidence": 60,
        "reason": "Mogi has live shot (37%) with closer projected margin than market may price."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
  }
}

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