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Basketball · World Cup · World

Italy vs Serbia

Monday, 31 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Italy64-76Serbia

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Italy favourites at 68%, projecting 89-83 (about 172 points in total). That rests on a 8-2 record over the last 10 games against 5-5. Serbia lead the recent meetings 6-4, which keeps it close. Serbia won 76-64, against the model's 68% for Italy.

Key facts before the match

  • Italy have won 8 matches in a row.
World • World Cup
Italy vs Serbia
31 Aug • 20:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Italy64-76Serbia
Predicted Winner
Italy
68%to win
by ~5.4 pts vs Serbia
Projected Total
171.8pts
88.6 – 83.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
88.5pts
47.1 – 41.4
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Italy24.522.621.120.4
Serbia22.119.320.121.6
Total46.641.941.242
from last 5+5 games
Italy
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 87.3 — Allowed: 78 — Pace: 165.3
Serbia
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 87.5 — Allowed: 85.3 — Pace: 172.8
Italy Form
Italy
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
8W · 2L
—
Italy vs Estonia
83-61W↗
Q:23-2116-1627-1317-11
—
Italy vs Lithuania
87-84W↗
Q:22-2518-1219-2428-23
—
Iceland vs Italy
83-102W↗
Q:25-2721-3116-2621-18
—
Slovenia vs Italy
83-86W↗
Q:24-2419-3021-1219-20
—
Italy vs Croatia
103-91W↗
Q:32-2423-2726-2122-19
—
Italy vs Great Britain
84-75W↗
—
Great Britain vs Italy
57-93W↗
—
Lithuania vs Italy
81-82W↗
—
Italy vs Iceland
76-81L↗
—
Italy vs Slovenia
77-84L↗
Serbia Form
Serbia
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
5W · 5L
—
France vs Serbia
91-90L↗
Q:27-2227-1314-2723-28
—
Serbia vs France
90-87W↗
Q:22-1924-2626-1718-25
—
Serbia vs Bosnia & Herz…
94-81W↗
Q:27-1527-2021-2419-22
—
Switzerland vs Serbia
73-97W↗
Q:27-3017-1913-1716-31
—
Turkey vs Serbia
94-86L↗
Q:28-2120-2328-1918-23
—
Serbia vs Turkey
78-82L↗
—
Bosnia & Herz… vs Serbia
72-74W↗
—
Serbia vs Switzerland
90-86W↗
—
Serbia vs Finland
86-92L↗
—
Turkey vs Serbia
95-90L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Serbia vs Italy
76-78↗
Q:19-2323-1720-1914-19
—
Serbia vs Italy
88-89↗
Q:32-1915-2523-2618-19
—
Serbia vs Italy
86-94↗
Q:28-2023-2517-2118-28
—
Italy vs Serbia
86-90↗
Q:23-2430-2019-2114-25
—
Serbia vs Italy
95-102↗
Q:22-2823-2918-2332-22
—
Italy vs Serbia
77-92↗
—
Serbia vs Italy
71-65↗
—
Italy vs Serbia
64-96↗
—
Italy vs Serbia
67-83↗
—
Serbia vs Italy
73-65↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Italy 4 / Serbia 6. Average total: 163.7.

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