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Basketball · Friendly International · World

Italy vs Estonia

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Italy83-61Estonia

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Italy favourites at 84%, projecting 90-78 (about 168 points in total). That rests on a 8-2 record over the last 10 games against 3-7 and 3 wins from the last 3 meetings to 0. Italy won 83-61, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Italy have won 7 matches in a row.
World • Friendly International
Italy vs Estonia
22 Aug • 20:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Italy83-61Estonia
Predicted Winner
Italy
84%to win
by ~12 pts vs Estonia
Projected Total
168pts
90 – 78
no market line
Halftime Proj
89.3pts
48.6 – 40.7
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Italy24.424.220.121.3
Eston…22.218.519.417.9
Total46.642.739.539.2
from last 5+5 games
Italy
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 87.9 — Allowed: 77.3 — Pace: 165.2
Estonia
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
PPG: 80.5 — Allowed: 82.1 — Pace: 162.6
Italy Form
Italy
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
W
8W · 2L
—
Italy vs Lithuania
87-84W↗
Q:22-2518-1219-2428-23
—
Iceland vs Italy
83-102W↗
Q:25-2721-3116-2621-18
—
Slovenia vs Italy
83-86W↗
Q:24-2419-3021-1219-20
—
Italy vs Croatia
103-91W↗
Q:32-2423-2726-2122-19
—
Italy vs Great Britain
84-75W↗
Q:21-2122-1721-2120-16
—
Great Britain vs Italy
57-93W↗
—
Lithuania vs Italy
81-82W↗
—
Italy vs Iceland
76-81L↗
—
Italy vs Slovenia
77-84L↗
—
Italy vs Cyprus
89-54W↗
Estonia Form
Estonia
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
3W · 7L
—
Lithuania vs Estonia
108-94L↗
Q:28-3121-1926-2919-15OT 14-16
—
Czech Republic vs Estonia
75-73L↗
Q:24-2017-1711-1623-20
—
Estonia vs Slovenia
93-62W↗
Q:22-1624-1527-2020-11
—
Estonia vs Latvia
88-78W↗
Q:23-2423-1616-2026-18
—
Estonia vs Sweden
69-79L↗
Q:22-2316-1517-1314-28
—
Sweden vs Estonia
77-88W↗
—
Estonia vs Czech Republic
92-97L↗
—
Slovenia vs Estonia
93-79L↗
—
Estonia vs Portugal
65-68L↗
—
Estonia vs Turkey
64-84L↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Italy vs Estonia
83-62↗
Q:21-1831-1517-1914-10
—
Italy vs Estonia
101-94↗
Q:21-2023-3422-2828-12OT 7-11
—
Estonia vs Italy
81-87↗
Q:18-1829-2314-1820-28
Head-to-head summary
3 meetings — Italy 3 / Estonia 0. Average total: 169.3.

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