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Basketball · World Cup · World

Finland vs Sweden

Thursday, 27 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Finland81-86Sweden

Prediction and result

Before tip-off, the model made Finland favourites at 65%, projecting 85-81 (about 166 points in total). That rests on 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. Sweden won 86-81, against the model's 65% for Finland.

Key facts before the match

  • Sweden have won 3 matches in a row.
World • World Cup
Finland vs Sweden
27 Aug • 18:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Finland81-86Sweden
Predicted Winner
Finland
65%to win
by ~4.3 pts vs Sweden
Projected Total
165.9pts
85.1 – 80.8
no market line
Halftime Proj
83.8pts
39.8 – 44
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected
Q1Q2Q3Q4
Finla…17.322.52223.5
Sweden24.219.818.418.4
Total41.542.340.441.9
from last 5+5 games
Finland
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
PPG: 82.8 — Allowed: 83.6 — Pace: 166.4
Sweden
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
PPG: 80.3 — Allowed: 80.8 — Pace: 161.1
Finland Form
Finland
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
6W · 4L
—
France vs Finland
98-69L↗
Q:31-1618-1428-1721-22
—
Finland vs Hungary
85-77W↗
Q:13-1835-2526-1511-19
—
Finland vs Belgium
78-75W↗
Q:17-2217-1522-1522-23
—
Belgium vs Finland
66-71W↗
Q:24-1213-2019-1610-23
—
Finland vs France
83-76W↗
Q:20-1917-2619-1627-15
—
Hungary vs Finland
89-82L↗
—
Greece vs Finland
92-89L↗
—
Germany vs Finland
98-86L↗
—
Finland vs Georgia
93-79W↗
—
Serbia vs Finland
86-92W↗
Sweden Form
Sweden
W
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
4W · 6L
—
Slovenia vs Sweden
79-88W↗
Q:24-3021-2013-1921-19
—
Sweden vs Czech Republic
87-76W↗
Q:34-1627-1918-248-17
—
Estonia vs Sweden
69-79W↗
Q:22-2316-1517-1314-28
—
Sweden vs Estonia
77-88L↗
Q:22-2214-2422-1119-31
—
Sweden vs Slovenia
83-94L↗
Q:16-3126-1822-2419-21
—
Czech Republic vs Sweden
97-80L↗
—
Turkey vs Sweden
85-79L↗
—
Lithuania vs Sweden
74-71L↗
—
Sweden vs Montenegro
81-87L↗
—
Great Britain vs Sweden
59-78W↗
Head-to-Head
Last 10
—
Sweden vs Finland
90-93↗
Q:21-2627-2324-2318-21
—
Finland vs Sweden
85-69↗
Q:19-2924-1726-816-15
—
Sweden vs Finland
72-62↗
Q:14-1117-816-1425-29
—
Finland vs Sweden
69-67↗
Q:15-2122-1216-1816-16
—
Finland vs Sweden
81-60↗
Q:27-2721-419-1514-14
Head-to-head summary
5 meetings — Finland 4 / Sweden 1. Average total: 149.6.

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