Basketball · NCAA · USA
Duke vs Michigan State
Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Duke favourites at 76%, projecting 80-72 (about 152 points in total). That rests on a 9-1 record over the last 10 games against 7-3 and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2.
Key facts
- They last met on 6 Dec 2025, when Duke won 66-60.
Usa • NCAA
Duke vs Michigan State
11 Nov • 03:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Duke
76%to win
by ~8 pts vs Michigan State
Projected Total
152.4pts
80.2 – 72.2
no market line
Halftime Proj
74.7pts
39.2 – 35.5
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 0 | 39.2 | 0 | 41.1 |
| Michi… | 0 | 35.5 | 0 | 36.7 |
| Total | 0 | 74.7 | 0 | 77.8 |
from last 5+5 games
Duke
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
PPG: 80.4 — Allowed: 64.4 — Pace: 144.8
Michigan State
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
PPG: 82.7 — Allowed: 72.6 — Pace: 155.3
Duke Form
Duke
W4d
W7d
L225d
W227d
W233d
W236d
W240d
W241d
W242d
W247d
Q:0-054-180-059-34
Q:0-033-180-051-32
Q:0-044-290-028-44
Q:0-039-400-041-35
Q:0-038-340-043-24
Michigan State Form
Michigan State
W4d
W7d
L227d
W234d
W236d
L241d
L247d
W249d
W254d
W256d
Q:0-048-250-043-36
Q:0-052-240-044-35
Q:0-035-270-032-36
Q:0-036-310-041-38
Q:0-045-250-047-42
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Q:0-034-310-026-35
Q:0-020-310-045-43
Q:0-039-350-046-41
Q:0-033-370-036-38
Q:0-029-450-046-42
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Duke 8 / Michigan State 2. Average total: 147.7.
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